Thursday, October 28, 2010

Tweeted Picks for week 8!

As you can see, I'm doing tweeted picks this week, as it's been a depressing week for me personally, and in the sports world for me. But, if you do not know what twitter is, basically you put up short thoughts or links in 140 characters or less, please follow me on there @pjwalk85 if you'd like to follow me!

College

Michigan at Penn State

Rivalry game = close game.  Shoelace Robinson helps Michigan escape with a win.

Pick: Michigan 34, Penn State 28

No. 1 Auburn at Ole Miss

Number one in 2010 BCS rankings + tough road game = No. 1 goes down again.

Pick: Ole Miss 26, Auburn 24

No. 2 Oregon at USC

Oregon playing probably 3rd best team in conference and on road. Plus, SC is on probation, so this will be their bowl game, winners for home

Pick: USC 48, Oregon 44

No. 5 Michigan State at No. 18 Iowa


MSU's slipper comes off this week. They've played like the '09 version of IA close calls every game, and lose eventually, they've lost now.

Pick: Iowa 27, Michigan State 20

No. 6 Mizzou at No. 14 Nebraska

Mizzou had a huge victory over then No. 1 OU, first time in 25 years, now time to go to very tough environment and have let down game.

Pick: Nebraska 30, Mizzou 26

NFL

Green Bay at New York Jets

GB had tough emotional win last week, but Jets coming off bye week, means Jets win.

Pick: Jets 28, Green Bay 13

Denver at San Francisco

Game is in London, only reason why this game made the list.  Both teams horrible, but San Francisco should want it more.

Pick:  San Francisco 17, Denver 13

Minnesota at New England

Brett Favre is playing horribly already and now a broken ankle = lots of opportunities for NE's defense.

Pick: New England 28, Minnesota 10

Pittsburgh at New Orleans

New Orleans looked completely awful against one of the worst teams in the NFL, CLE, and PIT is one of the best teams in the NFL right now.

Pick: Pittsburgh 31, New Orleans 17


Houston at Indianapolis

Houston ran all over Indy in week one, Indy will game plan against being gashed like that again, Peyton will play better.

Pick: Indianapolis 35, Houston 24

O, and my World Series pick: San Francisco in a sweep.

Thursday, October 21, 2010

10 Best Football games Week 7!

The first BCS Rankings were released on Sunday, and to no surprise, it was Oklahoma starting at number one. Wait, that is a surprise, considering that Oregon is ranked number one in both the Harris and Coaches polls, but Oklahoma beat Oregon with computers.  Plus, Boise State was not in the top two of the BCS, which hopefully will change by the end of the year.  But, on to the top games of the week!

College

No. 1 Oklahoma at No. 11 Missouri

This is a very tricky game for Oklahoma, as they have looked sluggish in some games thus far this season.  See games versus Cincinnati, Utah State.  Plus, Mizzou is flying under the radar a bit, considering that they do fall in the shadow of the Big 12 south lying in the North division, and Blaine Gabbert seems to be having a fantastic season, and with the presence of College Gameday, the crowd is going to be even more amp'd up for this game.  Prepare for the number one team to go down on the road again.

Pick: Mizzou 34, Oklahoma 24

No. 6 LSU at No. 4 Auburn

Cam Newton is Florida's loss, but Auburn's gain. Newton was on the Florida roster last year but got cut from the team for allegedly stealing a classmate's laptop and then throwing it out the window once police came to investigate.  Newton has 25 total touchdowns this season and is quickly becoming the leading candidate for the Heisman trophy, but he has yet to face a defense as fierce as LSU's.  LSU cannot do a whole lot on offense, but they have their own Heisman candidate in their own right with Patrick Peterson, the dynamic returner/cornerback who can stop Newton when throwing the ball.  LSU will not quite have enough to stop Newton, as this game is at home for Auburn.

Pick:  Auburn 23, LSU 18

No. 13 Wisconsin at No. 15 Iowa

This should be a great game between two one loss Big 10 teams, and the loser of this game will be out of the running for the Big 10 title.  But, Wisconsin is coming off of a huge home win versus Ohio State and is due for a letdown game versus the Hawkeyes.  Especially daunting for Wisconsin is that they must go to Iowa City, which is always a tough place to play. 

Pick:  Iowa 28, Wisconsin 13

No. 7 Michigan State at Northwestern

This has trap game written all over it for the Spartans.  It has "trap" game written on it for four reasons.  Number 1, it is at Northwestern, which is outside of Chicago and this is the first game that Michigan State has played outside of Michigan all season dating to this point.  Number 2, Michigan State is going to face Iowa at Iowa next week, and could look past this game.  Number 3, Northwestern has always been known as one of the worst teams in the Big 10, but they have become much better under the tutelage of former Northwestern linebacker Pat Fitzgerald.  Finally number 4 is that Michigan State has a tendency to get out to very fast starts and then falling off a cliff so to speak to finish off their season.  This season is seeming different for Michigan State and for that reason, I'll still pick them to win, but it will be very close.

Pick: Michigan State 23, Northwestern 21

No. 16 Nebraska at No. 14 Oklahoma State

This is looking like a very interesting game.  Nebraska is coming off a tough loss against a good Texas team, and Oklahoma State is still looking good after their win against Texas Tech last week.  Nebraska probably should have won against Texas last week even though they looked awful, and Oklahoma State really cannot be this good, can they?  Plus, Oklahoma State needs to find a way to contain freshman sensation Taylor Martinez, which I don't think they will do.


Pick: Nebraska 31, Oklahoma State 17

Pro

Pittsburgh at Miami

Pittsburgh looked solid last week in week one of Ben Roethlisberger's return to the NFL.  But, they did not look dominating versus a horrible Cleveland team.  Miami, on the other hand had a good win against a sliding Green Bay team, winning in overtime.  But, that was on the road and Miami has won every single game on the road thus far, losing the two they have had at home.  I expect that trend to continue, as Pittsburgh is continuing to look like the class of the AFC.

Pick:  Pittsburgh 27, Miami 23

Philadelphia at Tennessee

Tennessee has a "game-time" decision on which quarterback will start for them versus the Eagles come Sunday afternoon, as Vince Young suffered a sprained knee and ankle versus the Jaguars on Monday night.  Kerry Collins filled in admirably for the Titans though.  What the Eagles must focus on though is the league's most dynamic rusher in Chris Johnson.  The Eagles have a notoriously weak running defense, and the Ttians will look to exploit that.  The Eagles also have one of their most dynamic weapons in DeSean Jackson out for this game with a concussion he suffered last week versus Atlanta.  The Eagles will look to their other great wide receiver Jeremy Maclin more and they should have success.  The Titans will also look to continue their six game winning streak versus NFC opponents on Sunday, which I think will happen.

Pick:  Tennessee 30, Philadelphia 21

New England at San Diego

New England has looked as good as ever in their first five games, going 4-1, while San Diego has gotten off to their notoriously slow start of 2-4.  San Diego has reason to be concerned though, as they just have not looked all that good against lesser competition in St. Louis, Oakland and Kansas City.  Granted Kansas City is in first place, but I still don't think they are for real.  San Diego will need to get this win in order to have momentum going into the meat of their schedule.  New England will look to continue to just move on and win games as they have done throughout the season without a whole lot of fanfare. 
Tom Brady is continuing his good season without too much of a running game, and San Diego needs to stop that in order to get a much needed victory.  San Diego needs to keep Philip Rivers upright and not allow him to continue to get sacked in order for them to win the game.  I expect San Diego to win this game and build momentum into the meat of their schedule.

Pick: San Diego 23, New England 17

Minnesota at Green Bay

Brett Favre is returning to Green Bay for the second time as the enemy and I expect him to get booed even more this year than last year.  But, will a win come along with like it did last year?  Quite possibly, as Minnesota beat Dallas in the so called "panic bowl" last week.  Green Bay on the other hand has been sliding ever since they got off to their 3-0 start, they have lost 3 in a row.  Aaron Rodgers will need to rebound from these past three games for the Packers to go on and win the division as most had predicted, and I think that will start with this game.

Pick:  Green Bay 34, Minnesota 23

New York Giants at Dallas

Dallas is continuing to look like a very over hyped team, with their loss to Minnesota and they are looking like an undisciplined team as well.  Dallas is looking very undisciplined, as they have incurred unsportsmanlike conduct penalties in back to back weeks for celebrating touchdowns.  Dallas will need to stop celebrating touchdowns and will need to start just putting wins up if they will have any chance at making the playoffs. Becoming the first team to go to the playoffs since 2004 with a 1-4 record to start out the season.  New York on the other hand has looked very good this season in what was looking like a hot seat year for Tom Coughlin.  Coughlin's sense of discipline has given the Giants a 4-2 start and they are a top of the NFC East.  I expect the Giants to continue their winning ways on Monday.

New York 30, Dallas 20

Friday, October 15, 2010

10 best football games Week 6!

Last week i went 2-3 in both the collegiate level and pros with my picks. Shows you what happens when you gloat about your greatness in picking sporting events. But, I'm looking to be back to around a 70 percent range this week.

College

No. 1 Ohio State vs.No. 16 Wisconsin

This is a tough game for Ohio State. They really haven't faced too much tough competition outside of their game versus Miami in week 2. Plus, this is only the second time they are playing on the road. Not only that, but a conference game on the road in primetime. That can very well spell disaster for a team who could be full of itself after climbing to its first number 1 ranking in over two years.  Plus, Ohio State didn't play too well at Illinois, their only other road game this year. John Clay will run all over the Buckeye defense in this one.

Pick: Wisconsin 24, Ohio St. 17

Texas vs. No. 5 Nebraska

Nebraska wants to play Texas and beat them badly while on their farewell tour of the Big 12.  Nebraska wants to beat the Longhorns badly because of Texas' luck during last year's title game that Nebraska should have won. There was a second put back on the clock in the game and Texas kicked a game winning field goal as that happened. Texas is a significantly weaker team this year and there is no way they can stop Taylor Martinez in this game.

Pick:  Nebraska 38, Texas 20

No. 13 Arkansas vs. No. 7 Auburn

Probably the premier game on the docket this week, as both teams are fighting for the second spot in the SEC's western division. Auburn is looking to continue to run the ball and control the clock with Cam Newton. But, they narrowly escaped Kentucky last week when they ran out the clock to win the game. Arkansas is coming in off of a bye week and they are certainly looking to continue to try and make the SEC title game after their close loss to Alabama a few weeks ago.

Pick: Arkansas 28, Auburn 23

No. 24 Michigan at No. 14 Iowa

Denard Robinson struggled last week against a stout Michigan State defense who contained him, forced him to throw a lot more than usual and was rewarded with three interceptions.  This week he faces an even better defense at Iowa which will spell a lot of trouble for "Shoelace" Robinson.  Plus, the Michigan defense is incredibly porous, so even Iowa can put up plenty of points.

Pick:  Iowa 31, Michigan 13

No. 18 Oklahoma State at Texas Tech

Oklahoma State has been a nice story thus far in the college football season, but I don't know how many more tricks they can pull out of their hat.  Texas Tech on the other hand tried a surprise onside kick and it got returned for a touchdown versus Baylor.  I'm not sure which team to pick here, it's going to be highly entertaining though. Both teams defenses are not very good and both teams offenses are very good.

Pick: Oklahoma State 45, Texas Tech 41

Pro

Miami at Green Bay

Both teams are coming into this game struggling, as Miami has lost two straight at home versus fellow AFC east rivals New England and New York. Green Bay is looking to come back after a loss at fellow division leader Washington. Green Bay is thankful that Aaron Rodgers has been cleared to play in the game following the concussion he suffered at Washington. Miami has looked good on the road and they are coming off of a bye, so that is a recipe for success.

Pick: Miami 21, Green Bay 16

Atlanta at Philadelphia

While Michael Vick would love to decimate his former team like he did last year in Atlanta, Vick cannot this year because of broken rib cartilage. So, Kevin Kolb will make his second consecutive start, and try to pick up where he left off last week in San Francisco. Kolb threw for 253 yards and a touchdown last week in the winning effort. Granted Atlanta is a lot better than San Francisco, as noticed by their four game winning streak.  Matt Ryan and Michael Turner will be a tough test for the Eagles defense, but they will limit yardage and pull out the win.

Pick: Philadelphia 24, Atlanta 20

Baltimore at New England

This is going to be one dandy of a game and could be a preview of the AFC title game. New England will be having their first game since they traded Randy Moss, and we will see if the Patriots really miss his presence on the field.  Baltimore has looked very good in every game except their game versus Cincinnati, where they lost. Baltimore has looked especially good on the ground, with Ray Rice and Willis McGahee carrying the load.  New England will look to exact revenge on the Ravens for handing them their only loss at home while Brady has been at the helm.

Pick: New England 24, Baltimore 23

Dallas at Minnesota

Minnesota and Dallas have been true disappointments this year and look like a shell of their former selves last year when they met in the NFC divisional playoffs.  Dallas is coming in off a tough game versus Tennessee and Minnesota is coming on off of a tough game versus the Jets in a rainstorm.  Both teams can ill afford a loss, as only five teams have made it to the playoffs since 1992 starting the season 1-4 and only three even won a game in the playoffs. It's still hard at 2-3, but still manageable. Since Minnesota is at home, that is the only reason to go for them.

Pick: Minnesota 27, Dallas 14

Tennessee at Jacksonville

As mentioned in the AFC South preview column, this division is the toughest in all of the NFL.  There really are no easy games and you can expect some tough grind it out football here.  Jacksonville, while tarping off about 10,000 seats still has trouble selling out game but they are very competitive.  They started out the season rough losing 2 of their first 3, but have bounced back taking down Indianapolis at home and then trashing the pathetic Bills in Buffalo. They have of course done that damage behind shifty running back Maurice Jones-Drew, who has over 400 yards rushing and two touchdowns. But, the Jags can also look to standout tight end Marcedes Lewis for some red zone receptions along with Mike Sims-Walker who can help with fade routes.
Tennessee is coming in off their big win versus Dallas and wants to take control of the divisional lead with Chris Johnson who had a bounce back week versus Dallas. The Titans would love to continue using Vince Young and just allow him to win games no matter how he does it, the Titans always seem to be able to win with him at the helm.

Pick: Tennessee 26, Jacksonville 17

Enjoy the weekend full of baseball and football!

Thursday, October 14, 2010

ALCS/NLCS Preview and prediction

Welcome to the League Championship Series, where it is the final four in baseball and things really start to get intense. We just came off of a no-hitter and the first game five since 2005 in the Division Series and now we get to see who will meet up in the World Series. Will it be a team who hasn't won it in over 50 years (Giants), a team who has never even won a postseason series before this year (Rangers, a team searching for its 29th title (Yankees) or a team who wants revenge upon last year's World Series (Phillies)?   Let's move on to the previews.

NLCS Philadelphia Phillies vs San Francisco Giants

This is a very evenly matched series, with pretty much everything being a push except for two elements Number one is the lineup is shifted to the Phillies, who are loaded with great hitters nearly top to bottom. Then the other area where I think the balance is shifted is the bullpen, and that goes to the Giants.  Granted Brian Wilson gave blew a save in the Division Series against the Braves, but I still think he is better than Lidge and the entire bullpen is slightly better than the Phillies.
Otherwise, this series is dead even, and it will all come down to pitching, starting pitching. Which team will score a run first will more than likely win that particular game as all of these starters have been phenomenal down the stretch and in their careers. Game one matches Tim Lincecum who threw a complete game 2-hitter and the defending Cy Young award winner versus Roy Halladay, who threw a complete game no hitter and is the likely candidate to win the award this year. that game should be a must watch for most baseball fans just for the mastery in pitching.
But, as far as games 2-4 are concerned with pitching, both are very good matchups, as it's Matt Cain versus Roy Oswalt in game 2, Cain was brilliant in game two versus the Braves, only giving up one run and Roy Oswalt wants to redeem himself from the four runs he surrendered in game 2 versus Cincinatti.
Game 3 pits two great lefties against one another with Jonathan Sanchez versus Cole Hamels. Sanchez was very good in game three versus Atlanta, having a no hitter through six innings, while Hamels pitched a 5-hit shutout versus the Reds.
Game 4 is going to be somewhat of a toss up as Joe Blanton has not pitched since late September and could be rusty. Blanton was 4-0 in the month, but now is thrust into action. Blanton faced Madison Bumgarner and he pitched well against Atlanta in game 4, only allowing two runs through six innings.
But, as mentioned the Phillies lineup seems to be stacked from top to bottom, as every person is healthy and ready to play. But, they have not been hitting up to their potential, and could easily put up seven runs a game if everyone got going.  This is going to be a tough series no matter who wins, but I think with the Phillies lineup, they should be fine and win in six.
Prediction: Phillies in six.

ALCS: New York Yankees versus Texas Rangers

These teams met three times in the latter part of the 1990's and all three times the Rangers got kicked out of the playoffs in the first round. This year could be different for several reasons. One of them is Cliff Lee, who pitched brilliantly in the ALDS versus the Tampa Bay Rays and has beaten the Yankees before. See games one and five of last year's World Series for his dominance versus the Yankees for proof.  Another is that this Rangers team is coming in confident after winning their first postseason game in history.  Finally, this is the first time that the Rangers have had home field in the series. 
The Yankees on the other hand are coming in confident as well, as they are the defending champions and are primed to do it again, as the Yankees pounded the Minnesota Twins into oblivion, scoring at least five runs in the sweep. Plus, they have a dominant number one starter in CC Sabathia and the rest of the rotation which did look shaky in the latter part of the year was good again.  Plus, they have the best closer in postseason history with Mariano Rivera.
These teams met eight times in the regular season and split the series. So, it is hard to get a gauge on who has the edge where. But, I think the Yankees have the edge in every category, it is major in some areas and minor in others. Does that mean the Yankees will waltz right through this series? Probably not, as the Rangers will put up a fight though.
The Yankees edge is major when it comes to the bullpen, as previously mentioned with Rivera and a good set up man with former Indians closer Kerry Wood, who still is fooling hitters with his curve ball and blowing them away with a 96 mph fastball.  It is also major when it comes to manager, as Joe Girardi led this team to a World Series in his second year managing the team and knows how to make a game plan.
The Yankees advantage is minor when it comes to lineup, defense, and starting pitching. Lineup is because the Rangers are very good and when they get on, they know how to exploit runs. Game five versus the Rays was a prime example, as the Rangers got two runs on ground balls when the runner was at second base. but, the Yankees have a bevy of talented hitters and any one can mash it out of the park. The Yankees defense is also very good, but as is the Rangers. Although the Yankees starting pitching was fairly bad during September, they looked very good in the playoff series against Minnesota and the Rangers outside of Lee are good, but not great and could be intimidated by the Yankees.

Prediction: Yankees in 6.

Thursday, October 7, 2010

September game of the month!

Sorry for the delay on this, I have been lazy, my mistake.

there really is only one game which I can recall as being truly worthy of the title to be called "game of the month" for September. The Boise State-Virginia Tech game on Labor Day night. It was a game of two top 10 ranked teams playing before a national audience in basically a "do or die" game for the Broncos. Boise State had to win this game to a) prove to everyone in the nation they were worthy of being ranked #3 and b) keep their national title hopes alive.

It was a fairly high scoring game and came down to the final minute before the game was truly decided. Boise proved itself early, rushing out of the gates with a 17-0 lead before the first quarter was even done with. Even though Boise passed for both of its touchdowns in the first quarter. Then, Virginia Tech rallied from behind to take the lead midway through the third quarter. After that, it was a battle back and forth to see who would come out on top. Boise finally went ahead for good with only 1:33 left in the game with Heisman candidate Kellen Moore passing to his senior wide receive Austin Pettis on a beautifully executed fade play in the corner of the endzone.

The last five minutes of the game made for riveting television, the true reality t.v. we can all appreciate. So much was on the line for Boise heading into what almost amounted to a home game for Virginia Tech, as the game was held in Washington, D.C., only a few hours separated the fans from Virginia Tech going to the game compared to the few days it must have taken for Boise fans. Boise pulled it out to allow itself still a shot at competing for the national title.

NHL Preview/predictions

Ahhh...yes the crispness of fall is in the air, you can feel the coldness of winter coming along and in some parts you could actually play outdoors soon. This can only mean the return of the TRUE winter sport, hockey. (Sorry, I just cannot stand basketball, a sport for weak men.)
In this preview, I will go through each division and predict where each team will land and give a short sentence about each team.

Eastern Conference

Atlantic Division

1. Pittsburgh Penguins
Although they had lost in seven games to the red hot Montreal Canadiens, they clearly are still the team to beat, especially with new better defenseman.

2. New Jersey Devils
As with the Indianapolis Colts and Peyton Manning, as long as the New Jersey Devils have Martin Brodeur healthy, they'll be fine and be in the playoffs.

3. Philadelphia Flyers
A team consistently making the playoffs, and with some risky acquistions, they hope to go back to the Final, and win this time.

4. New York Rangers
Without a true number one center, it will be a carousel to see who can get the right chemistry with their other linemates.

5. New York Islanders
One of the game's worst teams, and I expect that trend to continue this year.

Northeast Division

1. Buffalo Sabres
Ryan Miller, arguably the game's best goalie should continue to perform well, while the offense is still without a superstar, they perform well as a team, with another season of 10 players over 10 goals.

2. Boston Bruins
Marc Savard needs to return from concussion based symptoms for the Bruins to have a lot of scoring, as they cannot rely on young Tukka Rask.

3.Montreal Canadiens
Although Jaroslav Halak is gone, they still have a good goalie with Carey Price and will just enough to sneak into the playoffs once again.

4.Ottawa Senators
The Senators added a premier defenseman with Sergei Gonchar, and will need to rely on young Brian Elliott in goal to get to the playoffs.

5.Toronto Maple Leafs
The rebuilding continues in Toronto where the Leafs miss the playoffs once again.

Southeast Division

1. Washington Capitals
I'd like a good reason for anyone to pick against the best regular season team in the game.

2.Atlanta Thrashers
Picked up some good pieces from Chicago in a salary cap deal, and they hope nearly a complete overhaul will do that.

3.Tampa Bay Lightning
Steven Stamkos should continue to improve in his second year, and the Lightning have more scoring around him with the acquisition of Simon Gagne.

4. Carolina Hurricanes
The 'Canes finished strong last season, coming up with 45 points after mid-January. The 'Canes look to carry over that success into this season, but will fall just short.

5. Florida Panthers
The Panthers are looking for veteran Tomas Vokoun to carry them into the playoffs for the first time in a decade, but it will not happen.

Western Conference

Central Division

1. Detroit Red Wings
Veteran team which always is good and will continue to perform well. Will need to have Jimmy Howard not to have a sophomore slump this season either.

2.Chicago Blackhawks
While the team purged nine players from their Stanley Cup team, they still have their version of the Yankees "core 4" with Jonathon Toews, Patrick Kane, Marian Hossa, and Duncan Keith, so they'll still be in the playoffs easily.

3.Nashville Predators
While the Preds rarely have anyone of note, coach Barry Trotz always seems to get the most out of his players and get them into the playoffs, which will happen again this year.

4. St. Louis Blues
The Blues hope Jaroslav Halak will continue his winning ways from the playoffs and get them into the playoffs for the second time in three years, I think he'll just miss them.

5. Columbus Blue Jackets
Rick Nash is the team, and although he is nearly impossible to stop, the Jackets will not get into the playoffs yet again.

Northwest Division

1. Vancouver Canucks
The Canucks have arguably the 3 best players in the game, with the Sedin twins and Roberto Luongo, one of the best goalies in the league.

2. Colorado Avalanche
The Avs surprised everyone last season by getting into the playoffs with an incredibly young team, they hope that success will continue this season.

3.Calgary Flames
Jarome Iginla is still a premier goal scorer, but does not have too much around him, much like Adrian Gonzalez in San Diego with the Padres. That will not make them a playoff team.

4. Minnesota Wild
The Wild need more offense and for them not to give up more offense than last year for them to get into the playoffs, and I think they will not accomplish that at all.

5.Edmonton Oilers
Worst team in the NHL last year will continue to be one of the worst, as they don't really have too many pieces in the puzzle quite yet.

Pacific Division
1.San Jose Sharks
San Jose will continue to be much like the Capitals, that is, great regular season team, not so great postseason team.

2. Los Angeles Kings
Very young team with salary cap space is a recipe for success, gets them to the Western Conference Finals.

3. Anaheim Ducks
Another team which always seems to do well, and they got the offense to outscore anyone, the question is can the defense keep shots away from Jonas Hiller?

4. Phoenix Coyotes
The surprise team of last season, and they looked good, but I think it was more of a one year wonder than anything, they don't really have a lot on the team.

5. Dallas Stars
Loaded with young talent, which I don't think will come together until next year or even two years from now.

Predictions: Eastern Conference winners: Pittsburgh Penguins meet the Los Angeles Kings, with Pittsburgh winning in 6.

Wednesday, October 6, 2010

10 Best Football games of the week!

This week, we are really starting to get into the meat of the NFL and college. as with the NFL, you can pretty much gauge where a team is at after about 4-5 weeks While in college, conference play just got started last week full force, so this is starting to get really good. The month of October should be great.

College

No. 16 Michigan State at No. 17 Michigan

While this is a rivalry game, both teams are very evenly matched and it is pretty much a toss up. Michigan State should have their coach back this week, unless another health problem comes up and he misses it again. Denard Robinson is facing his toughest defense yet, but still manages to gain over 400 yards by himself.

Pick: Michigan 38, Michigan State 37

No. 9 LSU at No. 12 Florida

The mad hatter and the Tigers barely got away last week against a mediocre Tennessee team at home. The Tigers and Les Miles game mismanagement is nothing short of astonishing and how LSU is still undefeated after last week is shocking. LSU comes into the swamp stumbling and Florida will look to rectify itself after they got destroyed last week in Tuscaloosa.

Pick: Florida 42, LSU 20

No. 24 Florida State at No. 14 Miami

Another rivalry game, this one with both teams gaining traction from their losses in the first "monster" Saturday. Miami lost badly to Ohio State in the horseshoe and Florida St. did not show up against Oklahoma in Norman. But, both have come back from those losses and proceeded to wipe the floor with their next few opponents. This game also could be a preview of the ACC title game, as they are in separate divisions and have gone undefeated thus far in the conference. Jacory Harris will lead this Miami team on to victory.

Pick: Miami 28, Florida St. 17

No. 11 Arkansas vs. Texas A&M (at Arlington, Texas)

While A&M lost last week's shootout in Stillwater to the continued unbeaten Cowboys, they travel to Cowboys stadium this week to take on one of the SEC's best in Arkansas. Arkansas nearly beat Alabama if they had not beaten themselves, as they played the game not to lose more so than win. While Jerrod Johnson and the Aggies may be a great offensive team, they possess barely any defense, which Ryan Mallett and the Arkansas offense will carve up easily.

Pick: Arkansas 45, Texas A&M 28

USC at No. 18 Stanford

Both of these teams are coming off of losses, so both are motivated to win. Stanford let go of an 18 point lead in Eugene, and now are looking to knock off SC for the third time in four years. USC is motivated because they got humiliated last season by Stanford on its on home turf and since it is not going to a bowl game, they want to prove how good they can be. Stanford has also gone 13-2 dating back to 2007, when they came out of the woodwork and started looking like a very good team. The only two losses came to Cal, and SC. So, Stanford also has something of a revenge factor going for it. I believe Andrew Luck will come back home and continue to impress NFL scouts.

Pick: Stanford 24, USC 20

NFL

Kansas City at Indianapolis

While looking at this game for its face value, you may not think that this is a good game, just based on the team names and what they have done of late. But, when looking at the records, you'd be shocked that Kansas City is the undefeated team and Indianapolis is coming in at .500 on the year. Indianapolis has not stopped any running team thus far, as when they went on the road, they lost to two running teams and gave up over 30 points in each game. Peyton Manning has been very good, and is continuing to have the best statistical season of his career, but his defense has let him down thus far. Kansas City on the other hand, is getting by on their running game of Jamaal Chalres and Thomas Jones and producing big time numbers. The defense is also doing its job and keep teams to just a few points. But, since this game is at home, I'll go with the Colts.

Pick: Colts 24, Chiefs 13

Green Bay at Washington

Washington sure proved this prognosticator wrong last week, running all over the Eagles in Philadelphia with Ryan Torain. Ryan Torain ran for 70 yards and a touchdown in the Redskins victory. The Redskins did just enough to hold the Eagles at bay in the final quarter to win the game. Torain will also need to play well again this week, as Clinton Portis is out for a few weeks with an injured groin. Green Bay didn't fare too well either in their win against Detroit. Detroit put up a really fine battle against them last week, only losing by two points. If Green Bay wants to win a Super Bowl, they will have to get their defense in order, and they should start that this week.

Pick: Green Bay 27, Washington 10

New York Giants at Houston

New York absolutely destroyed the Chicago Bears last week with their suffocating defense, as they had nine sacks in the first half last week, and only allowed six first downs the entire game. That is a good sign, as the Texans tend to be a pass happy team. They should be, as they have arguably the best wide receiver in the game along with a very good tight end in Owen Daniels. But, I look for Arian Foster to run the ball a lot, much like the Texans did in their week one victory versus the Colts.

Pick: Houston 27, New York Giants 13

Tennessee at Dallas

Dallas tends to be a very good team after its bye week, as most teams are. Dallas also looked very impressive in Houston before their bye week to improve to 1-2 on the season. Dallas improved its passing and running games there and didn't make too many big mistakes. Tennessee on the other hand has not looked all that good, as they haven't really gotten Chris Johnson going, as Denver and Pittsburgh both held him to under 70 yards rushing. Look for that trend to continue unless the Cowboys go back to how they played against Washington, which was not very good.

Pick: Dallas 31, Tennessee 13

Minnesota at New York Jets

Both teams just got significantly better in the wide receiving department this week. Minnesota just picked up Randy Moss for chump change from the Patriots and the Jets have Santonio Holmes back from suspension. New York has looked very good in its past three games after losing by one to the Ravens in week one. New York and LaDainian Tomlinson have been a very good marriage as well, with Tomlinson running for over 5 yards per carry as well in a limited role. Minnesota on the other hand has not looked all that good, especially Brett Favre, as he has not looked to be in to the game at all, as evidenced by his six interceptions thus far, and the Jets will look to continue that trend. Minnesota has not given up many points though, and the defense has kept them in games and will look to rattle sophomore quarterback Mark Sanchez and for him to throw his first interception of the season. It should be a dandy of a game.

Pick: New York Jets 20, Minnesota 14

Sunday, October 3, 2010

Division Series previews and predictions

Wow, what a regular season! It all came down to the last day to determine who was playing who in the playoffs in the American League and who would get the last two spots in the National League. Plus, there are five new teams in the playoffs this year, that were not in last year. Who says there is no parity in baseball? But, now it comes down to the quickest month for a sports fan, October and the short series, best of five or seven games to determine a winner and who moves on.

American League

Rangers vs. Rays

A series of two teams who did not make the playoffs last season, and of two who struggled down the stretch. The reason for this is because both clinched playoff spots relatively early, with no real struggle down the stretch. The Rays punched their ticket to the postseason on September 28, while the Rangers punched theirs on the 25th of September. Both teams are strong in the pitching department, especially in starting pitching and the closer role. The aces for each are quite comparable to each other, with David Price for the Rays and Cliff Lee for the Rangers. Both are left handers, both like to work fairly quickly and both have postseason experience. The difference being for Price is that his came out of the bullpen for the shockingly good 2008 Rays, and he has never started a postseason game, while Lee baffled seemingly everyone who faced him in last year's playoffs when he was with the Phillies.
The rest of the rotation for the Rangers, who are experiencing the postseason for the first time this century, is inexperienced, but good, they have their former closer C.J. Wilson set up to go in game two and Colby Lewis in game three. The Rays will probably have Price, Matt Garza and James Shields. It should be interesting with the pitching, but I think there will be a lot of offense, as both teams are loaded top to bottom with speed and mashers. The Rays big question is going to be is Evan Longoria going to be back to play sa he has been injured with a quad injury for the past week.
this series is going to go five, and really, I think it is a coin flip, but I'll go with the Rangers in game five and Lee, the Rangers have never won a postseason series in their three attempts, and they have got to do it sooner or later.

Pick: Rangers in 5.

Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees

The Minnesota Twins have not won a World Series since 1991, and the New York Yankees won just last season, on their way, they knocked out the Twins. The Twins are out for revenge, and this Yankees team looks to be the weakest of the ones they have faced since 2002. The Yankees rotation behind CC Sabathia is in shambles and you will not know what will happen behind them. The Twins rotation does not put fear in you, but they pitch to contact and they are consistent. Plus, the Twins have home field in the first round, which they have not had in the past against the Yankees. Plus, they seem to be a lot more comfortable in Target Field than they were at the Metrodome.
Granted, the Yankees have their usual cast of hitters, but in the playoffs, they say you cannot win without good pitching, and I think that's where the Yankees will falter. The Twins lineup is not the best, especially when Joe Mauer has not been hitting all that well and their former MVP Justin Morneau is out. The Twins will really need Delmon Young to continue to play well for them to keep up with the Yankees hitting. This series could go five as well, but I think that the Twins pull it out in four.

Pick: Twins in four.

National League

Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies

The defending National League champions are rolling on all cylinders right now. The Phillies have the best starting trio in all of the majors right now with H2O, Halladay, Hamels and Oswalt. Those three pitchers went 13-1 combined in the final month of the season. Roy Halladay is going to start game one for the Phillies. It's what he wanted once he came to Philadelphia in the offseason, after pitching for 12 seasons without a playoff appearance in Toronto. The Phillies have also been hitting very well, and they got back Jimmy Rollins, their spark plug at the top of the lineup just in time after a calf injury. Plus, the middle of the lineup with Jayson Werth, Chase Utley and Ryan Howard, who all hit over 25 homers again seem to be rolling.
The Reds on the other hand are entering the postseason for the first time in 15 seasons. they are a young team without a care in the world seemingly. The Reds were in control over the weakest division in baseball, the central seemingly for the entire season. They really took control after the perennial champion Cardinals swept them in Cincinnati. The Reds then went on a tear while the Cardinals stumbled in August in September. The Reds do have a MVP canidate in Joey Votto who will be the key in the series for the Reds. Cincinnati also has some good pitchers going for them, with Edinson Volquez in game one, who has not faced the Phillies since 2008 and is 2-0 lifetime against them. Then, they have some good starting pitchers along with perhaps the most electrifying relief pitcher in the game, Aroldis Chapman, who throws 105 mph and throws a nasty slider. It could be an interesting series, but I just don't see the Phillies having too much trouble with the Reds.

Pick: Philadelphia in 3.

San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves

These two teams waited until the final game of the season to punch their tickets to the postseason. The Giants won the NL West, while the Braves won the Wild Card thanks to the Giants winning over the Padres. Both teams are also coming into the postseason after playoff droughts of 5 for the Braves and 7 years for the Giants.
The Giants bread and butter is their starting pitching, that's what makes them go, they have three pitchers which rival the Phillies big three with Tim Lincecum, Matt Cain and Jonathan Sanchez. The Giants offense has not done much, but is capable of doing a lot, with the Giants starting lineup looking somewhat different from their opening day lineup. The Giants brought in Pat Burrell to get offense from left field and they have potential Rookie of the Year Buster Posey behind the plate to replace Bengie Molina who they traded to Texas. Both Posey and Burrell are doing well, and could be trouble for the Braves. The Giants also have a lights out closer in Brian Wilson, who only blew five chances all year.
The Braves have come into the playoffs limping and have their entire infield different from opening day. Don't believe me? Well, a look around the diamond denotes that Chipper Jones was the opening day starter at third, now Omar Infante. Yunel Escobar at shortstop, now Alex Gonzalez. Martin Prado at second, now Brooks Conrad. Troy Glaus at first, now Derrek Lee. Plus, Infante and Conrad were originally supposed to be on the bench, but were pressed into starting through injuries. this team is a mismatch of players all around, with the only two starters playing in the same position from opening day being Rookie of the Year candidate Jason Heyward in right and Brian McCann at catcher. This team almost seems like a team of destiny for Bobby Cox's last season as manager with all of the mismatching and injuries to Jones, Prado, Jair Jurrjens at starter. But, like I said, ALMOST, as much as I'd like for Bobby Cox, one of the games classiest people to go out on top, he'll be knocked out in the first round.

Pick: San Francisco in 4.

Friday, October 1, 2010

10 best football games of the week! Week 4

This week I apologize for the delay, just have been tired the past few nights I was going to do it.
Anyway, this week in football looks amazing, as you have a true "monster" Saturday in college football, with five games featuring top 25 teams, with two of those coming between top 15 teams which could shape the national title picture a little bit better. Although, let's not get too far ahead of ourselves with that whole picture quite yet. Nonetheless, it is going to be a great Saturday full of football.
Then, the only game that folks are focusing on on Sunday is the Washington Redskins-Philadelphia Eagles game. Everyone is wondering what kind of reaction Donovan McNabb will get on his return to Philadelphia. I will give my two cents on that when I pick that game in the NFL portion of this blog. But, there are some other games which are intriguing to look at as well in the first week where byes are in effect.
Record last week: 4-1 college, and 2-3 in NFL, 6-4 overall. Still no losing record overall in the first three weeks, here's hoping trend continues.

College

No. 7 Florida at No. 1 Alabama

This is a rematch of the de facto semifinal game the past two seasons in the SEC title game. This could mean another rematch in the SEC title game this year too, which would make for another great game. The thing this time however comes that it is at Alabama and Florida no longer has Tim Tebow running the show at quarterback. But, Alabama just came back last week against another top 10 team in Arkansas in which it showed a lot of fight and courage and determination on the road no less. While Florida just completely pasted Kentucky at home and was not looking past them to this game. Florida is showing itself to be coming over some of the struggles it showed earlier in the season and starting to look like a complete team on both offense and defense. But, how can I go against the defending champions at home, at night, and a quarterback who has not lost since the 8th grade?

Pick: Alabama 27, Florida 23

No. 13 Stanford at No. 4 Oregon

This game was moved from an 11:15 start in the east to a 8 p.m. start time, and rightfully so. This game is a rematch from last season which Oregon lost at Stanford. If Oregon would have won, they may have been in the national title game instead of Texas. So, needless to say, Oregon wants revenge. Although this game has been hyped a lot, because it is airing on ABC or ESPN2 on ESPN, it is still being looked at as the second best game of the weekend, I think it will turn out to be the best game of the weekend. Both teams are legitimate top 5 teams at the moment and both have some great offenses. Question is which team will show up with enough defense to stop the other. I think that the running game, it's at home, and the fact that Oregon wants revenge from last season all play into the fact I'm picking Oregon.

Pick: Oregon 41, Stanford 38

No. 16 Texas vs. No. 8 Oklahoma (at Dallas)

The "Red River Rivalry" is the name of this classic rivalry set right in the middle of the Texas state fair in Dallas. This game is always intense, but the score has not necessarily reflected that in the past decade, as only two of the past ten meetings have been decided by a touchdown or less. The reason why it has gotten intense lately is because of how many Texas natives the Sooners have been able to nab in recruiting. I also love how the cotton bowl is evenly located and how you see Sooner Red on one side and burnt orange on the other side splitting tickets evenly between the two schools. The cotton bowl is located within 120 miles of each school as well.
But, this game is interesting as Texas literally got ran all over last week by UCLA, as the Bruins put up over 300 yards rushing and then Oklahoma barely got by Cincinnati last week. Both teams are interesting as both are 4-0, but haven't really played anyone and are just kinda getting by on talent alone, which will catch up to Oklahoma soon unless they play better. It already caught up to Texas. I believe Landry Jones and DeMarco Murray will come around this week and bring their "a" game this week against a stumbling Texas squad.

Pick: Oklahoma 21, Texas 10

No. 20 Penn State at No. 18 Iowa

Both of these teams are remarkably similar to each other, as both are one loss teams, both lost to their only road game against tough competition and both have good running games. The one thing that sets Iowa apart is that they got a 5th year senior starting at quarterback and Penn State has a true freshman at the position. Iowa also has a relenting defense which will cause Bolden said quarterback into a few turnovers. Iowa also has not lost to the Nittany Lions since 1999 in Iowa City.

Pick: Iowa 24, Penn St. 8

No. 9 Wisconsin at No. 21 Michigan State

Wisconsin does not seem like a top 10 team to me, they have just been lackluster all season, with the exception of Heisman candidate John Clay at running back. Michigan State on the other hand has a head coach who will be coming back and coaching for the first time since his heart attack two weeks ago. Think Michigan State will be playing over their heads for their coach in a home game? Yeah, that's what I thought too.

Pick: Michigan State 27, Wisconsin 17

NFL

Washington at Philadelphia

OK, to make this short and sweet I think Donovan McNabb will get cheered heavily with about 25-35% of the crowd booing him because those folks are complete idiots. McNabb will get cheered heavily when he is introduced, just as Brian Dawkins was last year. Granted Dawkins was much more beloved in Philadelphia than McNabb, but the guy still led the team to its first Super Bowl since the 1980 season. But, once the game gets started and the Redskins are out on the field, Eagles fans will boo McNabb relentlessly because they do not want him to score.
As for the game itself, I think Washington wants to play well for McNabb and to get the loss from St. Louis behind them. Unfortunately for them, they will be running into the NFC offensive player of the month in a rejuvenated Michael Vick who has thrown for over 700 yards with six touchdowns, zero interceptions and a guy who has ran for over 100 yards and a touchdown in the month of September. The Redskins defense will not be able to stop him or the Eagles receivers. McNabb will try the best he can, but his receivers and running backs are old and slow and will be covered well. McNabb will likely throw at least one interception as well.

Pick: Philly 30, Washington 13

Baltimore at Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh is off to a surprising 3-0 start thanks mainly to their defense which has held teams to 11 points a game in its first three and Rashard Mendenhall who has ran for an average of over 100 yards in its first three games. That defense will need to continue to pressure Joe Flacco and the Ravens who are winless at Pittsburgh since Flacco took over the starting job in 2008. Although Ray Rice, Baltimore's great running back is likely out for the game, Flacco has receivers to throw to this time, and I think he will hook up with Anquan Boldin for another 100+ yard receiving game for Boldin. I also think that the Ravens defense will try and swarm and pressure Charlie Batch into a few mistakes.

Pick: Baltimore 17, Pittsburgh 6

Denver at Tennessee

Interesting game here, as Denver tries to avoid the worst team start since 1999. Denver has put up some good offensive stats, especially through the air, averaging nearly 350 yards a game with Kyle Orton at quarterback surprisingly enough. But, Tennessee has been very good defensively, allowing under 13 points a game on average and of course they have the best player in the game with Chris Johnson, who should continue and put up good numbers against a fairly weak Denver defense.

Pick: Tennessee 24, Denver 20

Chicago at New York Giants

Chicago is coming off a big Monday night win at home versus previously unbeaten and division rival Green Bay. New York on the other hand has been dreadful, especially Eli Manning who is tied with the ageless Brett Favre for the NFL lead in interceptions with 6. The Giants running game isn't faring so well either, with Brandon Jacobs being relegated to second string after throwing his helmet fine rows into the crowd two weeks ago. The Giants seem to be in disarray and Chicago looks to continue their winning ways.

Pick: Chicago 30, New York Giants 12

New England at Miami

Miami is coming off a tough loss to the New York Jets last week, and should be looking to continue to be tied for first place. New England meanwhile has handled the opponents it is supposed to handle like Cincy and Buffalo, but lost at the aforementioned Jets in week two. New England has also lost 7 of its past 9 road games overall, and the Dolphins kick started their "wildcat" offense against the Patriots in 2008 on their way to a division title. I expect that to continue here.

Pick: Miami 28, New England 20

Tomorrow look for the best games from the month of September!