This week features some good games in both college and pro, including some teams who you may think, why are they even in here?
But, first, to get to the first thing many are wondering in the football world, why is Mike Vick starting in place of Kevin Kolb? The simple answer is that Vick has performed fairly well in his past six quarters of work and Vick gives the Eagles the best chance to win right now. Having said that, Vick will not be the long term solution at quarterback for the Eagles, and Kolb may or may not be either, as he only has one year left on his contract after this season, and next year the Eagles will probably use him exclusively and not bring back Vick because someone else will probably pay for his duties no matter what Vick has done in the past. Also, the reason why I say exclusively is because the Eagles will not use any "wildcat" formations with any other quarterbacks and it would shake Kolb's confidence even more. Kolb has done an admirable job of stating his desire to be out there, but will root for Vick and the Eagles to do well, just as he should and as Vick did as well.
My record from last week was: 4-1 college, and 3-2 in the pros, again not a bad effort, 7-3 overall. I found it to be funny that I did pick the correct score in the MIN-MIA game, just wrong team to win, picked MIN instead of MIA.
College
No. 1 Alabama at No. 11 Arkansas
This very well could be a statement game for Arkansas and a huge boost to Ryan Mallett's Heisman hopes if Arkansas wins this game at home. Also, folks are calling this a "trap" game for 'Bama as this is going to trip them up, I just cannot foresee that happening though. Mallett and Arkansas had trouble last week against a fairly mediocre Georgia team, and still had to get a last second touchdown to win it. Plus, 'Bama has a very stout defense who will blitz all day against a very immobile Mallett and force turnovers. Then, 'Bama just got back the reigning Heisman winner who rushed for over 100 yards in a little over a quarter. Granted it was against Duke, but impressive still. Arkansas fans prepare to be disappointed.
Prediction:Alabama 37, Arkansas 20
No. 15 South Carolina at No. 14 Auburn
Another titillating SEC game here. Both teams to me are still question marks, as I still don't fully trust Gene Chizik at the helm of Auburn and South Carolina can get off to lightning fast starts but sputter down the stretch. But, that said, South Carolina has some great weapons with Stephen Garcia being very mature in the pocket and not making too many mistakes. Then behind Garcia is Marcus Lattimore, a terrific young freshman running back who is going to be used more and more by Steve Spurrier, which is crazy as Spurrier loves to pass. Auburn on the other hand just got by against the other team from the Palmetto state Clemson and escaped with a victory, and South Carolina is the better team overall.
Prediction: South Carolina 24, Auburn 20
Oregon State at No. 3 Boise State
This is the last true test for the Broncos before they head into a fairly weak WAC schedule. Plus, it will give the folks at home a real chance to see them shine as it is the site for ESPN's college gameday and for ABC's Saturday Night Football. It may still leave some folks scratching their heads on this question though: why do they play on a blue field? The answer lies with Boise's A.D. who thought that this would be a quirk basically. Subsequently, as many have tuned in to watch Boise's games over the years, they may have noticed that Boise is now one of the top football programs in all of Division 1-A. Boise is ranked number three, and as long as it stays undefeated, there is hope that they could play in the national title game, which would prove to the nation how good they actually are. Oregon State comes in after a tough game against Louisville and will face a very good team, which can and probably will stop the Rodgers brothers, especially with all of the nation's eyes peering upon them.
Prediction: Boise State 42, Oregon State 20
No. 21 West Virginia at No. 12 LSU
West Virginia is the only team from the Big East to be ranked, that falls after this game, as they have to go into Death Valley for a night game. LSU's fans get so riled up that it forces many false start penalties and West Virginia hasn't faced a team of this caliber yet. Heck, they nearly lost to Marshall, which isn't good.
Prediction: LSU 31, West Virginia 13
Temple at No. 20 Penn State
You may ask yourself what the heck is Temple versus Penn State on this list? Simple, Temple is undefeated and going up against a not all that good Penn State team. Sure most years Temple is another school which takes it's $500k to get shellacked, but not this year, as Temple has a fighting chance, considering they beat Connecticut, a team once thought to be the sleeper team of the Big East. While Penn State really has not looked all that impressive against the likes of Youngstown State, a Division 1-AA team and Kent State, a much weaker team from the MAC. Penn State looked fairly decent outside of some big turnovers against Alabama, but that was also a lot adrenaline. Does this mean I'm going to pick Temple? No, but they do have a fighting chance against an inexperienced Penn State team.
Prediction: Penn State 30, Temple 21
Pro
Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay
Again, this is another game which features a team you may be thinking, what the heck are they doing on here? Well, it's because Tampa is 2-0, granted it was against the likes of Cleveland and a rebuilding Carolina team, but still 2-0 in the NFL says something. Then, there is Pittsburgh which few though they could go 2-2 in the absence of Ben Roethlisberger, and they are winning with their defense mainly. Pittsburgh's defense is back with a healthy Troy Polamalu and a dynamic James Harrison collecting sacks. Tampa has been using a balanced offensive scheme against their opponents and not putting second year man Josh Freeman into a lot of trouble. Then they have Cadillac Williams who has been solid on the ground thus far. But, Dick LeBeau will put a ton of blitzes on Freeman and cause him to throw many interceptions to Troy Polamalu and the rest of the Steeler defensive unit.
Prediction: Pittsburgh 21, Tampa 3
Dallas at Houston
Coming into this game without knowing anything you'd think that the team which was winless was Houston and the team undefeated was Dallas, well you'd be wrong as the roles are reversed and Houston is undefeated. Houston proved they could handle adversity against a decent Washington squad coming back from 17 points down to eventually win the game in overtime. They also proved they belong with the big boys by thoroughly pounding Indianapolis in week one. Now is time to prove themselves against the big boys again with Dallas coming into town. Dallas has not done much in their first two games, games in which they were big favorites coming into those games. Dallas has looked pathetic in their first two games and it will continue here in Houston.
Prediction: Houston 24, Dallas 13
Atlanta at New Orleans
New Orleans has looked somewhat shaky in their first two games, pulling both out by less than a touchdown margin. New Orleans also lost a key piece to its puzzle when they lost running back and punt returner Reggie Bush to a broken leg on Monday against San Francisco. Bush was an integral component to the New Orleans offense, as he may return a punt for a touchdown at any moment and he was versatile in that he could line up as a receiver or running back and could break one at any time. Atlanta has looked good in their first two games, the first a defensive struggle which they lost in overtime to the Steelers and an annhilation against Arizona. This will be the game which the Saints fall with Matt Ryan and Tony Gonzalez hooking up a lot.
Prediction: Atlanta 17, New Orleans 16
New York Jets at Miami
The Jets came back and won their first game last Sunday against a very good talented New England team, but then they have a big setback the next morning when they wake up to find not one, not two, but three key pieces were out and one of them was charged with DWI, which signals bad things for this game. Mark Sanchez cannot throw to Braylon Edwards, as he was the one charged with DWI and then Sanchez probably will not be protected by his Pro Bowl tackle D'Brickashaw Ferguson and then the Jets won't get much pressure on Chad Henne with Vernon Gholston out too. O, and Darelle Revis is also out with an ankle injury so Henne can throw all day to Brandon Marshall and make it easy.
Prediction: Miami 17, New York Jets 6
Green Bay at Chicago
Chicago has looked good in their first two games, granted it was against less than stellar competition with Dallas and Detroit. Dallas is overrated, but they still have a great amount of talent. Chicago got lucky with their first win with a technicality call. But, Jay Cutler has only thrown one interception this season thanks to help from his new offensive coordinator Mike Martz who seems to correct most quarterbacks mistakes. Rodgers and the Packers meanwhile have shown that they are an unstoppable force thus far, putting up 27 and 34 points respectively in their first two games. I see no reason why that will cease now. Plus, with Clay Matthews forcing Cutler into some bad throws it will be an easy victory for Green Bay.
Green Bay 35, Chicago 17
Check back next Thursday for another edition!
Wednesday, September 22, 2010
Wednesday, September 15, 2010
10 best football games of the week!
This week in college looks a lot uglier than last week. In fact, there is only one game between two ranked teams. It is a very interesting game though. On the pro side of the game, there are five very interesting games to look forward to all throughout the day. Also, for anyone interested, last week I went 3-2 in college and 3-2 in the pros. So, 6-4 overall, not too bad.
College
No. 10 Iowa vs. No. 18 Arizona
Iowa, as seemingly always is coming in under the radar, as is Arizona. Both teams could be the winners of their respective conferences and quite possibly meet in the Rose Bowl. These teams met last year too while Iowa was winning their games by a touchdown or less seemingly. Iowa won that game 27-17, and the score was closer than the game was. Iowa dominated the game on defense, while Foles couldn't muster anything in the game. I expect a different outcome here, as it is in Arizona and it has a late start. Iowa is not used to starting games at 9:30 local time.
Pick: Arizona 24, Iowa 14
No. 4 Texas vs. Texas Tech
This rematch of the 2008 classic game where Texas Tech walked off with a victory at the last second is not met with too much fanfare throughout the country, as Tech is not considered to be one of the premier teams of the Big 12 and Texas is expected to walk all over Tech. I expect the same thing. This is going to be a interesting match up between the gun slinging Tech offense and the vaunted Texas secondary to see who will come out on top. Personally, I think that Texas is going to intercept Taylor Potts at least two times and come out with good field position from there.
Pick: Texas 38, Texas Tech 17
No. 7 Florida at Tennessee
A classic rivalry once again renewed. But, over the past few years, Florida has dominated, as Tennessee has not won since 2004. The Gators should continue to overwhelm the Vols here, even though they have not looked particularly good in their first two games against underwhelming competition. Tennessee, on the other hand challenged itself against Oregon, who looks to be the runaway favorite in the Pac-10. Tennessee hung in there versus the Ducks for the first half, but got annihilated in the second half. They may do the same thing here. Derek Dooley has a rebuilding team in Knoxville, so it shouldn't be too hard for the Gators to pick them apart.
Pick: Florida 52, Tennessee 14
Notre Dame vs. Michigan State
These teams are notorious for close games, as last year was a 33-30 win by the Irish. I expect no difference this year, as Notre Dame bounces back from a tough loss to Denard Robinson and the Wolverines.
Pick: Notre Dame 23, Michigan State 21
Georgia Tech vs. North Carolina
If Georgia Tech had won last week at Kansas, this game would have definitely been on the slate for this week, but it was a toss up between this and Nebraska/Washington, and I think this game offers more intrigue. Georgia Tech I think will pull away from NC during the second half with the Tar Heels defense still embroiled in the whole NCAA investigation of the school. Georgia Tech suffered a lapse last week against a Kansas squad which lost 6-3 to a Division 1-AA school in week one, and former Navy coach Paul Johnson must be infuriated by that, so hence the blowout victory here.
Pick: Georgia Tech 42, North Carolina 10
NFL
Miami vs. Minnesota
Minnesota is coming off a lousy game against the Saints where they really couldn't move the ball all that well and the defense looked sound in the first half, but allowed Pierre Thomas and the rest of the Saints to run all over them in the second half. Miami on the other hand, looked very similar to the Vikings as they did not look too good against the Bills, who are the worst team in the AFC East by far. I expect this to be a very competitive game, low scoring as well with a lot of rushing happening. Both teams love to run, and I'll give it to Minnesota as they come back home and they certainly do not want to fall into an 0-2 hole to start the season.
Pick: Minnesota 14, Miami 10
Baltimore vs. Cincinnati
These two teams week one games could not have been more different from each other. Baltimore was embroiled in a defensive struggle against the Jets where they barely pulled away with a victory and the Bengals were forced to pass often as they fell behind the Patriots 31-3. So, needless to say, I have no idea what to expect here. But, I think that the Ravens offense is better than what they showed against the Jets and I think the Bengals defense is better than what they showed against New England. The Ravens will probably try and get Ray Rice going early and then try some play action to their quartet of talented receivers in Mason, Boldin, Houshmandzadeh, and Heap. The Bengals will probably just go with what works instead of pulling out all these different formations like they did against the Patriots and coincidentally they fell behind early. This game will be very close, and I like the home team again to bounce back and win it.
Pick:Cincinnati 23, Baltimore 20
Pittsburgh vs. Tennessee
Pittsburgh looked pretty lethargic against the Falcons last week on offense until Rashard Mendenhall sent everyone home happy with the 3rd longest run in overtime in NFL history to win it for the Steelers. Tennessee then looked amazing on offense and defense, but in all fairness, they were playing the Raiders, who make nearly every team look better. I expect Tennessee to come back to earth a bit against the Steelers and their top notch defense and I expect the Steelers to get Mendenhall going early to take some pressure off Dennis Dixon. Mendenhall will get going early and be a very good starter for anyone's fantasy team this week.
Pick: Pittsburgh 24, Tennessee 17
New England Patriots vs. New York Jets
Titanic clash between two bitter AFC East rivals here. New England looked as if they could not be stopped last week against Cincinnati and the Jets looked like they were in a complete standstill for most of the game last week on offense. I expect the Jets to be better on offense this week and to be jacked up for a rivalry game. I also expect that Tom Brady will have a tougher time against the Jets secondary this week. Brady will still put up some good numbers, like 230 2TD, but nothing like he had last week. I expect Shonn Greene not to have his fumble-itis this week either and be solid on the ground too, and Mark Sanchez to get a little bit better from his performance against the Ravens and their really good defense.
Pick: New England 17, New York 16
New York Giants vs. Indianapolis Colts
The Manning brothers are meeting for only the second time in their history and it gets the prime time spotlight. Peyton and the Colts struggled mightily last week against the upstart Texans while the Eli and the Giants handled the falling Panthers easily. I expect the Colts to bounce back from last week and win because there is no chance that Peyton will allow his team to have another down game.
Pick: Indianapolis 27, New York 13
College
No. 10 Iowa vs. No. 18 Arizona
Iowa, as seemingly always is coming in under the radar, as is Arizona. Both teams could be the winners of their respective conferences and quite possibly meet in the Rose Bowl. These teams met last year too while Iowa was winning their games by a touchdown or less seemingly. Iowa won that game 27-17, and the score was closer than the game was. Iowa dominated the game on defense, while Foles couldn't muster anything in the game. I expect a different outcome here, as it is in Arizona and it has a late start. Iowa is not used to starting games at 9:30 local time.
Pick: Arizona 24, Iowa 14
No. 4 Texas vs. Texas Tech
This rematch of the 2008 classic game where Texas Tech walked off with a victory at the last second is not met with too much fanfare throughout the country, as Tech is not considered to be one of the premier teams of the Big 12 and Texas is expected to walk all over Tech. I expect the same thing. This is going to be a interesting match up between the gun slinging Tech offense and the vaunted Texas secondary to see who will come out on top. Personally, I think that Texas is going to intercept Taylor Potts at least two times and come out with good field position from there.
Pick: Texas 38, Texas Tech 17
No. 7 Florida at Tennessee
A classic rivalry once again renewed. But, over the past few years, Florida has dominated, as Tennessee has not won since 2004. The Gators should continue to overwhelm the Vols here, even though they have not looked particularly good in their first two games against underwhelming competition. Tennessee, on the other hand challenged itself against Oregon, who looks to be the runaway favorite in the Pac-10. Tennessee hung in there versus the Ducks for the first half, but got annihilated in the second half. They may do the same thing here. Derek Dooley has a rebuilding team in Knoxville, so it shouldn't be too hard for the Gators to pick them apart.
Pick: Florida 52, Tennessee 14
Notre Dame vs. Michigan State
These teams are notorious for close games, as last year was a 33-30 win by the Irish. I expect no difference this year, as Notre Dame bounces back from a tough loss to Denard Robinson and the Wolverines.
Pick: Notre Dame 23, Michigan State 21
Georgia Tech vs. North Carolina
If Georgia Tech had won last week at Kansas, this game would have definitely been on the slate for this week, but it was a toss up between this and Nebraska/Washington, and I think this game offers more intrigue. Georgia Tech I think will pull away from NC during the second half with the Tar Heels defense still embroiled in the whole NCAA investigation of the school. Georgia Tech suffered a lapse last week against a Kansas squad which lost 6-3 to a Division 1-AA school in week one, and former Navy coach Paul Johnson must be infuriated by that, so hence the blowout victory here.
Pick: Georgia Tech 42, North Carolina 10
NFL
Miami vs. Minnesota
Minnesota is coming off a lousy game against the Saints where they really couldn't move the ball all that well and the defense looked sound in the first half, but allowed Pierre Thomas and the rest of the Saints to run all over them in the second half. Miami on the other hand, looked very similar to the Vikings as they did not look too good against the Bills, who are the worst team in the AFC East by far. I expect this to be a very competitive game, low scoring as well with a lot of rushing happening. Both teams love to run, and I'll give it to Minnesota as they come back home and they certainly do not want to fall into an 0-2 hole to start the season.
Pick: Minnesota 14, Miami 10
Baltimore vs. Cincinnati
These two teams week one games could not have been more different from each other. Baltimore was embroiled in a defensive struggle against the Jets where they barely pulled away with a victory and the Bengals were forced to pass often as they fell behind the Patriots 31-3. So, needless to say, I have no idea what to expect here. But, I think that the Ravens offense is better than what they showed against the Jets and I think the Bengals defense is better than what they showed against New England. The Ravens will probably try and get Ray Rice going early and then try some play action to their quartet of talented receivers in Mason, Boldin, Houshmandzadeh, and Heap. The Bengals will probably just go with what works instead of pulling out all these different formations like they did against the Patriots and coincidentally they fell behind early. This game will be very close, and I like the home team again to bounce back and win it.
Pick:Cincinnati 23, Baltimore 20
Pittsburgh vs. Tennessee
Pittsburgh looked pretty lethargic against the Falcons last week on offense until Rashard Mendenhall sent everyone home happy with the 3rd longest run in overtime in NFL history to win it for the Steelers. Tennessee then looked amazing on offense and defense, but in all fairness, they were playing the Raiders, who make nearly every team look better. I expect Tennessee to come back to earth a bit against the Steelers and their top notch defense and I expect the Steelers to get Mendenhall going early to take some pressure off Dennis Dixon. Mendenhall will get going early and be a very good starter for anyone's fantasy team this week.
Pick: Pittsburgh 24, Tennessee 17
New England Patriots vs. New York Jets
Titanic clash between two bitter AFC East rivals here. New England looked as if they could not be stopped last week against Cincinnati and the Jets looked like they were in a complete standstill for most of the game last week on offense. I expect the Jets to be better on offense this week and to be jacked up for a rivalry game. I also expect that Tom Brady will have a tougher time against the Jets secondary this week. Brady will still put up some good numbers, like 230 2TD, but nothing like he had last week. I expect Shonn Greene not to have his fumble-itis this week either and be solid on the ground too, and Mark Sanchez to get a little bit better from his performance against the Ravens and their really good defense.
Pick: New England 17, New York 16
New York Giants vs. Indianapolis Colts
The Manning brothers are meeting for only the second time in their history and it gets the prime time spotlight. Peyton and the Colts struggled mightily last week against the upstart Texans while the Eli and the Giants handled the falling Panthers easily. I expect the Colts to bounce back from last week and win because there is no chance that Peyton will allow his team to have another down game.
Pick: Indianapolis 27, New York 13
Wednesday, September 8, 2010
10 best football games of the week!
The 10 best games of the week will look as follows for the rest of the season: 5 college games, and 5 pro games, and I'll predict who will win each game. Rankings in college will follow the USA Today and then BCS rankings.
College
No. 18 Penn State vs. No. 1 Alabama
These two teams are historic rivals dating back to the 1979 Sugar Bowl, where Penn State lost in heartbreaking fashion. The two teams are also renowned throughout the country for being successful universities. The only problem is that Alabama is the defending national champions and Penn State is playing a freshman quarterback in an SEC team's backyard. Therefore the chances of Penn State winning are slim to none.
Prediction: Alabama 34, Penn St. 13
No. 12 Miami vs. No. 2 Ohio State
This is the first game between these two teams since the 2002 title game which Ohio State won thanks to a helpful pass interference call from the officials. The Hurricanes fell off the map after that, but since new coach Randy Shannon took over, things have been looking up for the U. Ohio State has been consistently winning ever since then, going to BCS bowls seemingly every year since then. Miami and Ohio State feature some great quarterbacks as well, Terrelle Pryor and Jacory Harris. Both are Michael Vick type quarterbacks who can throw and pass very well and so it'll come down to the defenses. Both are incredibly athletic, and it really will come down to one of those games where it's decided by home field.
Prediction: Ohio State 23, Miami 21
No. 18 Florida State vs. No. 10 Oklahoma
Florida State seems to have come back from a dismal 2009 season and Jimbo Fisher has brought a new energy to the team. But, then again, that was also week one versus Samford, a division 1-AA school. (I hate the term FCS.) But, Christian Ponder will be rattled by the presence of Oklahoma's stadium and be rattled. Oklahoma had a rough time with Utah State before escaping with a victory, I'm sure because they were looking ahead to this game, which is not going to be that hard for Oklahoma.
Prediction: Oklahoma 28, Florida State 17
Michigan vs. Notre Dame
Classic rivalry gets going again, but this time it could change the momentum of the season for both teams. Notre Dame did very well last week against Purdue, especially on defense, which is fairly surprising, as Notre Dame's defense was the weak link to last year's squad. As far as Michigan is concerned, they are coming off a dominant win versus a team which was predicted to win the Big East by most. They also seem to have found their new quarterback with Denard Robinson who racked up nearly 400 yards of total offense by himself last game. I think Robinson will have a drop off from week one, as will the Notre Dame defense.
Prediction: Notre Dame 38, Michigan 30
No. 19 Georgia vs. No. 25 South Carolina
The Gamecocks looked very impressive in their week one victory versus a tough Southern Miss squad, and Georgia is always one of the top teams in the SEC. This will be a true test for the Gamecocks and Stephen Garcia. Georgia will ride its defense to the win.
Prediction: Georgia 17, South Carolina 7
Pro
Minnesota vs. New Orleans
Brett Favre returns to the site of the NFC Championship where he injured his ankle and just got knocked around quite frankly. New Orleans returns home and embraces the spotlight as the defending champions as they open up the regular season. New Orleans has nearly everyone back and will be feeling jacked up from the crowd. Reggie Bush and Drew Brees will have multiple touchdown nights.
Prediction: New Orleans 35, Minnesota 14
Atlanta at Pittsburgh
Intriguing match up between two playoff contenders in week one. Dennis Dixon will start for just the second time in his career. Mike Smith and the Falcons will look to exploit that, but then again Rashard Mendenhall will also try and make it easier on Dixon and the rest of the offense. Atlanta is focused on keeping Mendenhall stopped and trying to get their own offense going, which I think they will. Atlanta will get Michael Turner going and Matt Ryan will be searching for Tony Gonzalez and Roddy White downfield.
Prediction: Atlanta 24, Pittsburgh 21
Cincinnati at New England
Another game which is between two potential playoff contenders, and rightfully so, as both teams won their respective divisions last year. As mentioned in my season preview, I think both teams will have down years compared to last year. But, Cincy will have less of a drop off because Carson Palmer is coming back healthy and the defense should be just as good. Brady will be solid as usual, but he lost his favorite receiver in Wes Welker to a torn ACL at the end of last year, and he is still not 100 percent.
Prediction: Cincy 24, New England 14
Green Bay at Philadelphia
Unlike the 2007 season opener between these two teams, both are completely different under center and also the Eagles muffed two punts which cost them the game. This season, Aaron Rodgers will be one of the best quarterbacks in the league again and Dom Capers will try and unload on Kevin Kolb, essentially a rookie quarterback behind a somewhat shaky offensive line. From all of that, the Packers are going to demolish the Eagles in week one.
Prediction: Green Bay 38, Philadelphia 14
Baltimore at New York Jets
Probably the second best game of the week, behind the opening night game. Both teams bring top five defenses, the Jets are opening up the new stadium and be excited for that. The Ravens bring a revamped offense from last season, with the additions of T.J. Houshmanzadeh and Anquan Boldin to Deerick Mason, the receiving corps is tremendous. The only question about the Ravens is in the secondary, where they are banged up with Domonique Foxworth and Ed Reed unable to play right now. The Jets are very good on defense, but are shaky on offense where they were not able to put up much in the preseason. Give this one to Rex Ryan's former team.
Prediction: Ravens 13, Jets 10
College
No. 18 Penn State vs. No. 1 Alabama
These two teams are historic rivals dating back to the 1979 Sugar Bowl, where Penn State lost in heartbreaking fashion. The two teams are also renowned throughout the country for being successful universities. The only problem is that Alabama is the defending national champions and Penn State is playing a freshman quarterback in an SEC team's backyard. Therefore the chances of Penn State winning are slim to none.
Prediction: Alabama 34, Penn St. 13
No. 12 Miami vs. No. 2 Ohio State
This is the first game between these two teams since the 2002 title game which Ohio State won thanks to a helpful pass interference call from the officials. The Hurricanes fell off the map after that, but since new coach Randy Shannon took over, things have been looking up for the U. Ohio State has been consistently winning ever since then, going to BCS bowls seemingly every year since then. Miami and Ohio State feature some great quarterbacks as well, Terrelle Pryor and Jacory Harris. Both are Michael Vick type quarterbacks who can throw and pass very well and so it'll come down to the defenses. Both are incredibly athletic, and it really will come down to one of those games where it's decided by home field.
Prediction: Ohio State 23, Miami 21
No. 18 Florida State vs. No. 10 Oklahoma
Florida State seems to have come back from a dismal 2009 season and Jimbo Fisher has brought a new energy to the team. But, then again, that was also week one versus Samford, a division 1-AA school. (I hate the term FCS.) But, Christian Ponder will be rattled by the presence of Oklahoma's stadium and be rattled. Oklahoma had a rough time with Utah State before escaping with a victory, I'm sure because they were looking ahead to this game, which is not going to be that hard for Oklahoma.
Prediction: Oklahoma 28, Florida State 17
Michigan vs. Notre Dame
Classic rivalry gets going again, but this time it could change the momentum of the season for both teams. Notre Dame did very well last week against Purdue, especially on defense, which is fairly surprising, as Notre Dame's defense was the weak link to last year's squad. As far as Michigan is concerned, they are coming off a dominant win versus a team which was predicted to win the Big East by most. They also seem to have found their new quarterback with Denard Robinson who racked up nearly 400 yards of total offense by himself last game. I think Robinson will have a drop off from week one, as will the Notre Dame defense.
Prediction: Notre Dame 38, Michigan 30
No. 19 Georgia vs. No. 25 South Carolina
The Gamecocks looked very impressive in their week one victory versus a tough Southern Miss squad, and Georgia is always one of the top teams in the SEC. This will be a true test for the Gamecocks and Stephen Garcia. Georgia will ride its defense to the win.
Prediction: Georgia 17, South Carolina 7
Pro
Minnesota vs. New Orleans
Brett Favre returns to the site of the NFC Championship where he injured his ankle and just got knocked around quite frankly. New Orleans returns home and embraces the spotlight as the defending champions as they open up the regular season. New Orleans has nearly everyone back and will be feeling jacked up from the crowd. Reggie Bush and Drew Brees will have multiple touchdown nights.
Prediction: New Orleans 35, Minnesota 14
Atlanta at Pittsburgh
Intriguing match up between two playoff contenders in week one. Dennis Dixon will start for just the second time in his career. Mike Smith and the Falcons will look to exploit that, but then again Rashard Mendenhall will also try and make it easier on Dixon and the rest of the offense. Atlanta is focused on keeping Mendenhall stopped and trying to get their own offense going, which I think they will. Atlanta will get Michael Turner going and Matt Ryan will be searching for Tony Gonzalez and Roddy White downfield.
Prediction: Atlanta 24, Pittsburgh 21
Cincinnati at New England
Another game which is between two potential playoff contenders, and rightfully so, as both teams won their respective divisions last year. As mentioned in my season preview, I think both teams will have down years compared to last year. But, Cincy will have less of a drop off because Carson Palmer is coming back healthy and the defense should be just as good. Brady will be solid as usual, but he lost his favorite receiver in Wes Welker to a torn ACL at the end of last year, and he is still not 100 percent.
Prediction: Cincy 24, New England 14
Green Bay at Philadelphia
Unlike the 2007 season opener between these two teams, both are completely different under center and also the Eagles muffed two punts which cost them the game. This season, Aaron Rodgers will be one of the best quarterbacks in the league again and Dom Capers will try and unload on Kevin Kolb, essentially a rookie quarterback behind a somewhat shaky offensive line. From all of that, the Packers are going to demolish the Eagles in week one.
Prediction: Green Bay 38, Philadelphia 14
Baltimore at New York Jets
Probably the second best game of the week, behind the opening night game. Both teams bring top five defenses, the Jets are opening up the new stadium and be excited for that. The Ravens bring a revamped offense from last season, with the additions of T.J. Houshmanzadeh and Anquan Boldin to Deerick Mason, the receiving corps is tremendous. The only question about the Ravens is in the secondary, where they are banged up with Domonique Foxworth and Ed Reed unable to play right now. The Jets are very good on defense, but are shaky on offense where they were not able to put up much in the preseason. Give this one to Rex Ryan's former team.
Prediction: Ravens 13, Jets 10
Tuesday, September 7, 2010
AFC & NFC West Division Preview/Prediction
Well, we've only got one day until the NFL season kicks off with a doozy of a game. But, this is the final division for two reasons. The first being is that I admittedly have east coast bias. The second reason is that these two divisions are the worst in the NFL. Both only have one premier team, the others are either mediocre or just plain awful.
There is a reason the Rams drafted Sam Bradford number one overall, that's because they stink. They will continue to stink, but not because of Bradford, or because of Chris Long, who has been fairly successful over his first two years in the NFL. It's because the team is very young an inexperienced overall. Bradford will make the team better, and the offensive line needs to protect him, because otherwise he may separate his shoulder again, and that would spell disaster for the Rams.
Prediction: 3-13
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle brought in Pete Carroll as head coach for two reasons, because Jim Mora, Jr. is a wonderful coordinator, not so much head coach. Secondly, they wanted Carroll to breathe new life into the franchise which has a bunch of veteran players and try and make them play the way Carroll had his players play at USC. Problem being that Carroll hasn't coached in the NFL since 1999 and a lot has changed since then. Plus, he wasn't all that successful in the NFL, he had a lot more successful tenure at USC, where he took his teams to countless BCS bowls. But, Matt Hasselbeck has proven himself to be injury prone and right now there is no proven backup there and Carroll just isn't good enough to take this team to the playoffs.
Prediction: 6-10
Arizona Cardinals
Kurt Warner, who led this franchise to back to back playoff apearances for the first time since 1947, has retired. With his departure, the Cardinals though they could finally see what Matt Leinart could really do in his fourth professional year. Well, they found out he couldn't do a whole lot, so hence why Derek Anderson is now the starter. Anderson, in my belief is a one year wonder in 2007 for the Browns, as ever since then, he has stunk. the Cardinals are a team like the Eagles, which are in transition, as they lost Warner, Anquan Boldin, and Karlos Dansby. So, with the team being in transition, thats whay I don't think the team will be all that great.
Prediction: 7-9
San Francisco 49ers
Since Mike Singletary took over the 49ers in the middle of the 2008 season, the 49ers have gotten better and better, this is the year where I think they break through and get to the playoffs for the first time since 2002. Alex Smith has two receivers to throw to which are good in Ted Ginn and Michael Crabtree, who should also have a breakout year in his second season. Crabtree will definitely get over 1,200 yards in his first full season as a starter. Then, Vernon Davis will continue to make strides as one of the premier tight ends in the league. Finally, the defense, Singletary's specialty, will be in the top 12 of the league, with Patrick Willis leading the way.
Prediction: 10-6, 4th seed in the NFC.
AFC West
Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs are truly a sad sack of a franchise right now. The franchise has gone downhill ever since their 2007 playoff appearance where they got killed by the Colts. The Chiefs have hope in Matt Cassel, their second year starting quarterback. But, Cassel needs to be protected by an amazing offensive line, but the Chiefs offensive line is horrific as far as pass protection. When it comes to run blocking, the Chiefs have some talent there though. They have two running backs which are really good in Jamaal Charles and free agent back Thomas Jones. Too bad the defense is horrible, or else this team could be a team to contend with.
Prediction: 4-12
Oakland Raiders
The Raiders actually did some smart things this offseason, like retaining Tom Cable as head coach, and getting rid of JaMarcus Russell, one of the worst number one overall picks in history, along with Tim Couch. The Raiders also traded for Jason Campbell, who needed a change of scenery from Washington, and he will be under less scrutiny in a smaller market, even though the fans are just as rabid. The Raiders also have a shutdown corner in Nnamdi Asomugha and overall a pretty solid defense all around which will rank in the top 10 of the league. Just too bad the Raiders don't have much of an offense outside of Campbell, which is why they will stink.
Prediction: 5-11
Denver Broncos
The Broncos are a good team, but I can't see them getting past the hump of .500. Tim Tebow will come in as a quarterback in wildcat situations and do incredibly well, and will start a game or two before the end of the season. The Denver defense took a huge hit with the loss of Elvis Dumervil and the rest of the defense will suffer for it. Although Brian Dawkins will make everyone else around him play better, he will not be as good as he was last year in his first year in Denver. The offense will also suffer with the loss of star receiver Brandon Marshall, which is another reason why this team will just be mediocre.
Prediction: 7-9
San Diego Chargers
The Chargers are easily the class of this division. The Chargers have a great offense with Patrick Crayton, and the Chargers drafted the possible offensive Rookie of the Year in Ryan Matthews. The Chargers also have a really good defense. The only problem is that the team doesn't seem to come through in the playoffs, which they won't do again this year.
Prediction: 10-6, number 4 seed.
NFC West
St. Louis Rams
There is a reason the Rams drafted Sam Bradford number one overall, that's because they stink. They will continue to stink, but not because of Bradford, or because of Chris Long, who has been fairly successful over his first two years in the NFL. It's because the team is very young an inexperienced overall. Bradford will make the team better, and the offensive line needs to protect him, because otherwise he may separate his shoulder again, and that would spell disaster for the Rams.
Prediction: 3-13
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle brought in Pete Carroll as head coach for two reasons, because Jim Mora, Jr. is a wonderful coordinator, not so much head coach. Secondly, they wanted Carroll to breathe new life into the franchise which has a bunch of veteran players and try and make them play the way Carroll had his players play at USC. Problem being that Carroll hasn't coached in the NFL since 1999 and a lot has changed since then. Plus, he wasn't all that successful in the NFL, he had a lot more successful tenure at USC, where he took his teams to countless BCS bowls. But, Matt Hasselbeck has proven himself to be injury prone and right now there is no proven backup there and Carroll just isn't good enough to take this team to the playoffs.
Prediction: 6-10
Arizona Cardinals
Kurt Warner, who led this franchise to back to back playoff apearances for the first time since 1947, has retired. With his departure, the Cardinals though they could finally see what Matt Leinart could really do in his fourth professional year. Well, they found out he couldn't do a whole lot, so hence why Derek Anderson is now the starter. Anderson, in my belief is a one year wonder in 2007 for the Browns, as ever since then, he has stunk. the Cardinals are a team like the Eagles, which are in transition, as they lost Warner, Anquan Boldin, and Karlos Dansby. So, with the team being in transition, thats whay I don't think the team will be all that great.
Prediction: 7-9
San Francisco 49ers
Since Mike Singletary took over the 49ers in the middle of the 2008 season, the 49ers have gotten better and better, this is the year where I think they break through and get to the playoffs for the first time since 2002. Alex Smith has two receivers to throw to which are good in Ted Ginn and Michael Crabtree, who should also have a breakout year in his second season. Crabtree will definitely get over 1,200 yards in his first full season as a starter. Then, Vernon Davis will continue to make strides as one of the premier tight ends in the league. Finally, the defense, Singletary's specialty, will be in the top 12 of the league, with Patrick Willis leading the way.
Prediction: 10-6, 4th seed in the NFC.
Monday, September 6, 2010
AFC and NFC South division previews
We are only a few days away from the kickoff of the NFL's regular season. So glad to be back in football season, need it after a few months of only baseball. Well, the New Orleans Saints and Indianapolis Colts both come from each conferences respective South divisions. Will we see a rematch of Super Bowl XLIV? Only time will tell, but read and see what I think will happen in these divisions.
AFC South
This division is the toughest in the NFL. I do not care what anyone says of that statement either. Look up and down this division and you do not see one very flawed team. Granted, every team is flawed in some capacity, but none have the flaws which make them totally stink. Every other division in the NFL has at least one team which completely stinks. I'm predicting right now that every team in this division will finish within one game of .500.
Jacksonville Jaguars
I don't know how Jacksonville can support a team when they routinely cannot draw enough fans to a game to make it available on local television. I don't know how they continuously are within striking distance of a wild card spot. I do not know how they always make it tough on the Indianapolis Colts every time they play them. The only thing I do know is that they draft incredibly well and have an amazing head coach in Jack Del Rio. Del Rio continuously gets the most out of his players and makes them play over their heads. Plus, the defense always seems to hold teams to under 20 points to make the team competitive. The Jags offense is downright pitiful without Maurice Jones-Drew who makes everyone miss because of his stature, under six feet, and his shiftiness. But, they do find ways to win, and will find a way to win seven games.
Prediction: 7-9
Houston Texans
Everyone has been thinking for the past few years that this team is the one which is going to break through the barrier and reach the promised land of the playoffs. I was one of those people last year, this year I'm just not seeing that special something which this team needs. Granted, they have a fantastic linebacking group headed by DeMeco Ryans and Brian Cushing. They also have an excellent receiving corps headed by perennial all-star Andre Johnson and Jacoby Jones. they also have some talented running backs in Steve Slaton and Arian Foster. Ryans and Cushing will get their share of tackles and sacks, and intercept about six passes between them. Johnson and Jones will put up 1,000 yard seasons compliments of Matt Schaub, their quarterback. Foster and Slaton could possibly put up a 2,000 yard season combined, but despite those gaudy numbers, I just don't see this team as more than a .500 team.
Prediction: 8-8
Tennessee Titans
The Titans have the most explosive player in the NFL right now, Chris Johnson. Despite coming out of small school East Carolina, the Titans drafted Johnson in the first round of the 2008 draft and he has burst onto the scene right away. Johnson rushed for over 1,200 yards in his first season and became only the 6th running back in NFL history to rush for over 2,000 yards in his second season. He's aiming for 2,500 yards this season, which is a mark that has never been approached in NFL history. The Titans also have Vince Young, and while he may not be the flashiest or even the most technical of quarterbacks, but all he does is win. As evidenced by his career at Texas and in Nashville. The Titans also have a solid defense led by Chris Hope at safety and Cortland Finnegan at the corner positions. Plus, they have a very experienced and good coach in Jeff Fosher who counts for at least two wins a season based on his coaching alone.
Prediction: 10-6, 5th seed in the AFC.
Indianapolis Colts
Peyton Manning. Do I need to say more? He has led this team to 12 wins in every season since 2003! As long as Manning stays healthy and keeps Curtis Painter holding a clipboard, the Colts will again finish with a 12-4 record and win the AFC South. Manning will pass for over 3,000 yards, the defense will be just fine, despite missing Dwight Freeney and Bob Sanders for what will be combined an entire season, but others will step up, as always and take the Colts to the AFC Championship game once again.
Prediction: 12-4, number 1 seed.
NFC South
This division is split in half with two good teams and two fairly bad teams. You can probably guess who those two teams are both good and bad, but i'm going to tell you who I think they are.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers wish they could be half as good as the Reading Buccaneers despite doing two completely different things.
The Reading Buccaneers are a world renowned marching band, and just won their 6th consecutive world title.
Raheem Morris is entering his second year as head coach and it's going to be another long year for the Bucs. In 2009, the Bucs were winless until week nine, and became the last team to get their first win last season. The Bucs do have a bright future with quarterback Josh Freeman and a young defense, but don't expect much improvement from a 3-13 record last season.
Prediction: 5-11
Carolina Panthers
The Panthers lost two institutions of the franchise this past offseason, as the team released quarterback Jake Delhomme and allowed Chicago to sign defensive end Julius Peppers. John Fox is a fairly good head coach, but this year is pretty much a rebuilding year and waiting for Jimmy Clausen to make his first start as the quarterback of the future. The bright spots for the Panthers are their running backs, through which most of the offense is based. DeAngelo Williams and Jonathon Stewart are incredible and rushed for 1,100 yards apiece last season, becoming the first duo in NFL history to accomplish that. Matt Moore will also have his trouble in his first season as being the man to start at quarterback. the defense will also be ok, but will have its share of difficulties.
Prediction: 6-10
Atlanta Falcons
As much as I want to pick the Falcons as a playoff team, I already have the Eagles and Vikings penciled in to the final two wild card picks. I love Matt Ryan as the starting quarterback, as he shows a ton of poise in the pocket and led this team to back-to-back winning seasons for the first time in franchise history. I also expect Michael Turner to be back in form and rush for over 1,000 yards after injuries plagued him last season. I also fully expect the defense, led by sack machine John Abraham to make some noise. I have very high expectations for this team to challenge the Saints for the division crown, but will come up just short in both the wild card and division.
Predction: 9-7, barely missing the playoffs.
New Orleans Saints
The Saints also are facing some tough odds in getting back to the Super Bowl, as no team has reached back to back Super Bowls since the New England Patriots in the 2003-04 seasons. No team has won back-to-back Super Bowls since that team either. But, since the defending champions have nearly everyone back on offense from last season including Super Bowl MVP Drew Brees, I am inclined to say they will make a run at it. The Saints are also hoping Darren Sharper will have another career year as well, but I think he'll drop off in production from his 2009 year, especially after the Saints placed him on the PUP list for the first six weeks of the season, as he is physcially unable to perform. But, the defense will still be solid with Will Allen at defensive end who will get about 10 sacks. Then shutdown corner Tracy Porter who should perform well once again.
Prediction: 10-6, number 3 seed.
Look for the AFC and NFC West previews tomorrow night!
AFC South
This division is the toughest in the NFL. I do not care what anyone says of that statement either. Look up and down this division and you do not see one very flawed team. Granted, every team is flawed in some capacity, but none have the flaws which make them totally stink. Every other division in the NFL has at least one team which completely stinks. I'm predicting right now that every team in this division will finish within one game of .500.
Jacksonville Jaguars
I don't know how Jacksonville can support a team when they routinely cannot draw enough fans to a game to make it available on local television. I don't know how they continuously are within striking distance of a wild card spot. I do not know how they always make it tough on the Indianapolis Colts every time they play them. The only thing I do know is that they draft incredibly well and have an amazing head coach in Jack Del Rio. Del Rio continuously gets the most out of his players and makes them play over their heads. Plus, the defense always seems to hold teams to under 20 points to make the team competitive. The Jags offense is downright pitiful without Maurice Jones-Drew who makes everyone miss because of his stature, under six feet, and his shiftiness. But, they do find ways to win, and will find a way to win seven games.
Prediction: 7-9
Houston Texans
Everyone has been thinking for the past few years that this team is the one which is going to break through the barrier and reach the promised land of the playoffs. I was one of those people last year, this year I'm just not seeing that special something which this team needs. Granted, they have a fantastic linebacking group headed by DeMeco Ryans and Brian Cushing. They also have an excellent receiving corps headed by perennial all-star Andre Johnson and Jacoby Jones. they also have some talented running backs in Steve Slaton and Arian Foster. Ryans and Cushing will get their share of tackles and sacks, and intercept about six passes between them. Johnson and Jones will put up 1,000 yard seasons compliments of Matt Schaub, their quarterback. Foster and Slaton could possibly put up a 2,000 yard season combined, but despite those gaudy numbers, I just don't see this team as more than a .500 team.
Prediction: 8-8
Tennessee Titans
The Titans have the most explosive player in the NFL right now, Chris Johnson. Despite coming out of small school East Carolina, the Titans drafted Johnson in the first round of the 2008 draft and he has burst onto the scene right away. Johnson rushed for over 1,200 yards in his first season and became only the 6th running back in NFL history to rush for over 2,000 yards in his second season. He's aiming for 2,500 yards this season, which is a mark that has never been approached in NFL history. The Titans also have Vince Young, and while he may not be the flashiest or even the most technical of quarterbacks, but all he does is win. As evidenced by his career at Texas and in Nashville. The Titans also have a solid defense led by Chris Hope at safety and Cortland Finnegan at the corner positions. Plus, they have a very experienced and good coach in Jeff Fosher who counts for at least two wins a season based on his coaching alone.
Prediction: 10-6, 5th seed in the AFC.
Indianapolis Colts
Peyton Manning. Do I need to say more? He has led this team to 12 wins in every season since 2003! As long as Manning stays healthy and keeps Curtis Painter holding a clipboard, the Colts will again finish with a 12-4 record and win the AFC South. Manning will pass for over 3,000 yards, the defense will be just fine, despite missing Dwight Freeney and Bob Sanders for what will be combined an entire season, but others will step up, as always and take the Colts to the AFC Championship game once again.
Prediction: 12-4, number 1 seed.
NFC South
This division is split in half with two good teams and two fairly bad teams. You can probably guess who those two teams are both good and bad, but i'm going to tell you who I think they are.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers wish they could be half as good as the Reading Buccaneers despite doing two completely different things.
The Reading Buccaneers are a world renowned marching band, and just won their 6th consecutive world title.
Raheem Morris is entering his second year as head coach and it's going to be another long year for the Bucs. In 2009, the Bucs were winless until week nine, and became the last team to get their first win last season. The Bucs do have a bright future with quarterback Josh Freeman and a young defense, but don't expect much improvement from a 3-13 record last season.
Prediction: 5-11
Carolina Panthers
The Panthers lost two institutions of the franchise this past offseason, as the team released quarterback Jake Delhomme and allowed Chicago to sign defensive end Julius Peppers. John Fox is a fairly good head coach, but this year is pretty much a rebuilding year and waiting for Jimmy Clausen to make his first start as the quarterback of the future. The bright spots for the Panthers are their running backs, through which most of the offense is based. DeAngelo Williams and Jonathon Stewart are incredible and rushed for 1,100 yards apiece last season, becoming the first duo in NFL history to accomplish that. Matt Moore will also have his trouble in his first season as being the man to start at quarterback. the defense will also be ok, but will have its share of difficulties.
Prediction: 6-10
Atlanta Falcons
As much as I want to pick the Falcons as a playoff team, I already have the Eagles and Vikings penciled in to the final two wild card picks. I love Matt Ryan as the starting quarterback, as he shows a ton of poise in the pocket and led this team to back-to-back winning seasons for the first time in franchise history. I also expect Michael Turner to be back in form and rush for over 1,000 yards after injuries plagued him last season. I also fully expect the defense, led by sack machine John Abraham to make some noise. I have very high expectations for this team to challenge the Saints for the division crown, but will come up just short in both the wild card and division.
Predction: 9-7, barely missing the playoffs.
New Orleans Saints
The Saints also are facing some tough odds in getting back to the Super Bowl, as no team has reached back to back Super Bowls since the New England Patriots in the 2003-04 seasons. No team has won back-to-back Super Bowls since that team either. But, since the defending champions have nearly everyone back on offense from last season including Super Bowl MVP Drew Brees, I am inclined to say they will make a run at it. The Saints are also hoping Darren Sharper will have another career year as well, but I think he'll drop off in production from his 2009 year, especially after the Saints placed him on the PUP list for the first six weeks of the season, as he is physcially unable to perform. But, the defense will still be solid with Will Allen at defensive end who will get about 10 sacks. Then shutdown corner Tracy Porter who should perform well once again.
Prediction: 10-6, number 3 seed.
Look for the AFC and NFC West previews tomorrow night!
Wednesday, September 1, 2010
10 Best Football games of the week!
I've decided to follow after my friend and fellow blogger Jason by picking the 10 best football games each week. There are two notable differences in my blog and his blog. The first is that I'm covering both college and the pros with these 10 games. The second noticeable difference is that I'm only picking 10 games versus his 15. This week, I'm essentially copying it, with his consent, as I agree with it. If you'd like the entire 15 games of his excellent post, plesae go to thefroshfifteen.blogspot.com!
1. Boise State vs. Virginia Tech
Might as well start with the main course. The last game of the sprawling opening weekend is the best one, and shouldn't disappoint. Both teams have tons to lose in this one, which could go one of two ways: play conservative, close to the vest, not to lose; or to go for broke, turn to the last page of the playbook, play loose and risky. Judging by the traditional styles of these two, I'd bank on the latter. By now we all know that this is basically Boise State's entire season - lose and you can kiss the BCS goodbye. But you could argue that Virginia Tech has more to lose - a loss here would carry with it some embarrassment, as they'd be the bully BCS program who couldn't knock the Broncos into their proverbial place, and the Hokies have a decent national title shot as well. Lose Monday night and you might as well throw that in the trash too - a lot would have to happen for a one-loss ACC team to slip into Glendale. As far as what will happen on the field, I like Virginia Tech for one primary reason: they've had all summer to prepare for this game. Boise State is essentially the same team as last year, and the Broncos won't have the luxury of sneaking up unnoticed. The Hokies know the Boise will try to throw trick plays at them; they'll be prepared, even if the play is something no one has seen in the history of football (a distinct possibility). And if you give a top 20 defense, like Virginia Tech's, ample time to prepare, they'll find a weakness and a way to stop you. By now they must know every pore on Kellen Moore's face by heart. If there's a chink in his armor, they'll find it. Expect a close, entertaining game, but look for Boise's dream to die in week one.
Virginia Tech, 27, Boise State 24
2. Oregon State vs. TCU
If you read this blog last week, you're fully aware I'm picking TCU. They're a complete team this year - plenty of offense to go with their characteristic defensive ferocity. Oregon State has been a massive overachiever under Mike Riley, but they're prone to slow starts. That doesn't bode well when they open in what's essentially a road game against a top 10 opponent.
TCU 31, Oregon State 16
3. Pittsburgh at Utah
Pitt will be a very good team this year, but they're schedule may do them in and keep them out of the BCS. This may not look like too difficult a game, but Utah hasn't lost at home since 2007. They've still got a solid power running game, and sophomore QB Jordan Wynn has a solid year behind him. The Utes will be able to keep a good Pitt defense off balance, which, combined with some big home field advantage, could be enough, no matter how many yards Dion Lewis rattles off. Don't forget that Pitt's also starting a green QB, on the road, against a team that should be ranked.
Utah 23, Pittsburgh 17
4. LSU vs. North Carolina
After trashing Jordan Jefferson and the LSU offense last week, you'd think I'd be staying away from picking them like Lane Kiffin stays away from small roadhouse bars outside of Knoxville. But you'd be wrong. The turmoil at North Carolina has to be a distraction, and the suspension of Marvin Austin is huge. Plus, the types of teams that will give LSU fits this year aren't just teams with formidable defenses, they'll be the teams who pair those defensive units with a good QB and players who can stretch the field. LSU's defense is pretty stout, and I realized this week that I'd underestimated it a bit. The Tar Heels do not fit that criteria. T.J. Yates is unproven, and apart from WR Greg Little, they don't have anyone who'll scare the LSU defense. Low scoring and rugged will be the theme, with LSU winning on timely turnovers.
LSU 16, North Carolina 7
5. Purdue at Notre Dame
The Brian Kelly era begins, and if you'd believe some of the hype beaming from South Bend, you'd think they were a BCS shoo-in. Make no mistake about it, Kelly is a proven winner, but he's not a miracle worker. Notre Dame has some major holes to fill on defense, and Purdue has the offensive tools and system to give them fits. It'll be a shootout, but I don't think the Irish can get the stops they need to prevail.
Purdue 41, Notre Dame 34
6. Southern Mississippi at South Carolina
All the talk surrounding Spurrier's focus and his choice of using 2 QB's is overblown. He's done it before, and won by it before, and I think he still feels that he has something to prove at South Carolina. If not, he'd have left several years ago. I think he feels his work's not done until he leads them to a division crown. Probably won't happen this year, but the talent level is rising, and the Gamecocks will surprise some folks this year. And is it me, or does South Carolina play on the opening Thursday every year? Did I miss something? Are the contractually obligated to by some obscure ESPN byline?
South Carolina 30, Southern Mississippi 20
7. Connecticut at Michigan
Interesting matchup, and could make for a great little Saturday afternoon game. Connecticut is the better team, but RichRod is no stranger to Randy Edsall's style. And though the Big House has rolled out the red carpet for visitors recently, it's still huge and visually intimidating. Michigan, as much as it pains me to say it, will be better this year, and should be able to clip UConn.
Michigan 23, Connecticut 20
8. Illinois vs. Missouri
Well, this used to be a tantalizing early season rivalry. Then Ron Zook happened. Missouri may roll up half a hundred - Blaine Gabbert might be the most underrated QB in America.
Missouri 45, Illinois 17
9. Kentucky at Louisville
Another regional rivalry. I'm sure the state of Kentucky is all a-twitter over it, but that's mostly because there can't be much else to get excited about down there. Is it breeding season? Maybe time to bottle the next batch of whiskey? No? Well, let's turn on UK and UofL then. It ain't basketball, but we can pretend!
Kentucky 34, Louisville 24
10. UCLA at Kansas State
We're knee deep in the boredom of week one's only remotely attractive BCS conference vs. BCS conference affairs. It's hard to believe that ABC's 3:30 lineup consists of this, UK-UL, and UConn-Michigan. Talk about reaching. Most people expect UCLA to be pretty competitive, but I'm not sold on Rick Neuheisel. If I remember correctly, Colorado under his watch was barely more than average. Not sure where the "soon will be equal with USC" talk is coming from. With Bill Snyder at K-State, you do get a proven commodity. Look no further than last year, when he had the Wildcats in range of a Big 12 North title in November. He's got a little more talent this year, and his craftiness will lead them back to a bowl game, and certainly past UCLA.
Kansas State 21, UCLA 16
1. Boise State vs. Virginia Tech
Might as well start with the main course. The last game of the sprawling opening weekend is the best one, and shouldn't disappoint. Both teams have tons to lose in this one, which could go one of two ways: play conservative, close to the vest, not to lose; or to go for broke, turn to the last page of the playbook, play loose and risky. Judging by the traditional styles of these two, I'd bank on the latter. By now we all know that this is basically Boise State's entire season - lose and you can kiss the BCS goodbye. But you could argue that Virginia Tech has more to lose - a loss here would carry with it some embarrassment, as they'd be the bully BCS program who couldn't knock the Broncos into their proverbial place, and the Hokies have a decent national title shot as well. Lose Monday night and you might as well throw that in the trash too - a lot would have to happen for a one-loss ACC team to slip into Glendale. As far as what will happen on the field, I like Virginia Tech for one primary reason: they've had all summer to prepare for this game. Boise State is essentially the same team as last year, and the Broncos won't have the luxury of sneaking up unnoticed. The Hokies know the Boise will try to throw trick plays at them; they'll be prepared, even if the play is something no one has seen in the history of football (a distinct possibility). And if you give a top 20 defense, like Virginia Tech's, ample time to prepare, they'll find a weakness and a way to stop you. By now they must know every pore on Kellen Moore's face by heart. If there's a chink in his armor, they'll find it. Expect a close, entertaining game, but look for Boise's dream to die in week one.
Virginia Tech, 27, Boise State 24
2. Oregon State vs. TCU
If you read this blog last week, you're fully aware I'm picking TCU. They're a complete team this year - plenty of offense to go with their characteristic defensive ferocity. Oregon State has been a massive overachiever under Mike Riley, but they're prone to slow starts. That doesn't bode well when they open in what's essentially a road game against a top 10 opponent.
TCU 31, Oregon State 16
3. Pittsburgh at Utah
Pitt will be a very good team this year, but they're schedule may do them in and keep them out of the BCS. This may not look like too difficult a game, but Utah hasn't lost at home since 2007. They've still got a solid power running game, and sophomore QB Jordan Wynn has a solid year behind him. The Utes will be able to keep a good Pitt defense off balance, which, combined with some big home field advantage, could be enough, no matter how many yards Dion Lewis rattles off. Don't forget that Pitt's also starting a green QB, on the road, against a team that should be ranked.
Utah 23, Pittsburgh 17
4. LSU vs. North Carolina
After trashing Jordan Jefferson and the LSU offense last week, you'd think I'd be staying away from picking them like Lane Kiffin stays away from small roadhouse bars outside of Knoxville. But you'd be wrong. The turmoil at North Carolina has to be a distraction, and the suspension of Marvin Austin is huge. Plus, the types of teams that will give LSU fits this year aren't just teams with formidable defenses, they'll be the teams who pair those defensive units with a good QB and players who can stretch the field. LSU's defense is pretty stout, and I realized this week that I'd underestimated it a bit. The Tar Heels do not fit that criteria. T.J. Yates is unproven, and apart from WR Greg Little, they don't have anyone who'll scare the LSU defense. Low scoring and rugged will be the theme, with LSU winning on timely turnovers.
LSU 16, North Carolina 7
5. Purdue at Notre Dame
The Brian Kelly era begins, and if you'd believe some of the hype beaming from South Bend, you'd think they were a BCS shoo-in. Make no mistake about it, Kelly is a proven winner, but he's not a miracle worker. Notre Dame has some major holes to fill on defense, and Purdue has the offensive tools and system to give them fits. It'll be a shootout, but I don't think the Irish can get the stops they need to prevail.
Purdue 41, Notre Dame 34
6. Southern Mississippi at South Carolina
All the talk surrounding Spurrier's focus and his choice of using 2 QB's is overblown. He's done it before, and won by it before, and I think he still feels that he has something to prove at South Carolina. If not, he'd have left several years ago. I think he feels his work's not done until he leads them to a division crown. Probably won't happen this year, but the talent level is rising, and the Gamecocks will surprise some folks this year. And is it me, or does South Carolina play on the opening Thursday every year? Did I miss something? Are the contractually obligated to by some obscure ESPN byline?
South Carolina 30, Southern Mississippi 20
7. Connecticut at Michigan
Interesting matchup, and could make for a great little Saturday afternoon game. Connecticut is the better team, but RichRod is no stranger to Randy Edsall's style. And though the Big House has rolled out the red carpet for visitors recently, it's still huge and visually intimidating. Michigan, as much as it pains me to say it, will be better this year, and should be able to clip UConn.
Michigan 23, Connecticut 20
8. Illinois vs. Missouri
Well, this used to be a tantalizing early season rivalry. Then Ron Zook happened. Missouri may roll up half a hundred - Blaine Gabbert might be the most underrated QB in America.
Missouri 45, Illinois 17
9. Kentucky at Louisville
Another regional rivalry. I'm sure the state of Kentucky is all a-twitter over it, but that's mostly because there can't be much else to get excited about down there. Is it breeding season? Maybe time to bottle the next batch of whiskey? No? Well, let's turn on UK and UofL then. It ain't basketball, but we can pretend!
Kentucky 34, Louisville 24
10. UCLA at Kansas State
We're knee deep in the boredom of week one's only remotely attractive BCS conference vs. BCS conference affairs. It's hard to believe that ABC's 3:30 lineup consists of this, UK-UL, and UConn-Michigan. Talk about reaching. Most people expect UCLA to be pretty competitive, but I'm not sold on Rick Neuheisel. If I remember correctly, Colorado under his watch was barely more than average. Not sure where the "soon will be equal with USC" talk is coming from. With Bill Snyder at K-State, you do get a proven commodity. Look no further than last year, when he had the Wildcats in range of a Big 12 North title in November. He's got a little more talent this year, and his craftiness will lead them back to a bowl game, and certainly past UCLA.
Kansas State 21, UCLA 16
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