Friday, January 22, 2010

Championship Sunday

This is Championship Sunday in the NFL, down to the final four, and with that, comes all of the possible Super Bowl matchups, and all of the matchups this year look intriguing, with the Colts and Peyton Manning going up against either his dad's adopted hometown, or having an epic QB showdown against Favre and the Vikes. Then, have New York facing Favre and his old team, or the Jets versus the Saints and two wretched franchises trying to win their first or second Super Bowls, second for the Jets, first for the Saints. Here's hoping that these games are close though, as each of the first two weekends have had 3 blowouts and then a close game for the final one, we all hope for 2 close games this weekend.

AFC Championship: New York Jets vs. Indianapolis Colts

A "rematch" from week 16, where the Colts, already locked up with the nuymber 1 seed, rested their starters and allowed the Jets to come back and win 29-15. The Jets scored 19 unanswered points after the J.V. squad came in for the Colts. Through the first 40 minutes the Jets kept it close, but not quite close enough. The Colts and rookie head coach Jim Caldwell may regret his decision to rest his starters. As now the Jets are on a roll, throroughly beating the Bengals into submission, then getting lucky against the Chargers when Nate Kaeding missed 2 very makeable field goals, and now facing the favored team in the AFC.
The key to the Jets success hasn't been their running game, or their defense, but Mark Sanchez. Now, you may be asking how Sanchez has been the key to the Jets success when Sanchez has passed for 282 yards and 2 TDs in both games combined. The thing missing from those two games is 0 INTs. Sanchez has been managing the game beautifully, letting the running game set up short passes and throwing a few deep balls to keep opposing defenses honest, and not letting them crowd the pass. Of course, the pass is a very small part of the offense, with that top ranked running game of Thomas Jones and the dynamic rookie Shonn Greene averaging 169 yards a game. Then, of course you've got Darelle Revis basically taking out the top receiver in each game, it's going to be hard for Manning to get it to Reggie Wayne, but he's first going to have to decipher the Jets different schemes and looks.
However, Manning is also a student of the game, and has matured significantly since his first appearance in the playoffs waaaaaaaayy back in the previous century, ok 1999, but it still works. He has figured out defenses, and completely demolished Baltimore's defense last week.
Manning torched the Ravens with 248 yards, and he got complemented by the defense, which forced four turnovers, which turned into a few points. The Ravens also helped the Colts by shooting themselves in the foot time after time. The Colts need to develop a running game as well against Revis, because he and the different schemes will force the Colts to get more than 45 yards on the ground. Manning was fine during the 1st meeting, but it's going to be one heckuva game, and to see how Manning fares the second time around. My feeling is that the Jets are just too confident right now, and they just seem destined to win.

Go with the J-E-T-S JETS JETS JETS!!!!!!!!!!!!! 19-17

NFC Championship Game: New Orleans Saints vs. Minnesota Vikings

The Superdome has hosted some historic events through the years, Super Bowls, BCS Narional title games, the Pope, preseason baseball, the Republican National Convention, Katrina victims, and other conventions, but never an NFC championship game, but that's also because the Saints were also known to most as the Ain'ts for many years because they were so horrible. Now, the Superdome gets to host that elusive NFC championship game, and maybe they may be the home of the NFC Champions, but for that to happen, the Saints must have two things to happen: for Reggie Bush to run with purpose again, and for them to stop Adrian Peterson. Granted Peterson hasn't really been the same back this season, as he hasn't had a 100 yard game in 8 games. But, Peterson could break out here, as the Saints have one of the worst running defenses in the league. To tell you how bad they are, they let Steven Jackson and the Rams vaunted O-line run for over 100 yards. Peterson and Bush could be the X-factors in this game, as Favre has been throwing a lot more, which helped with the Vikings losing 3 of their last 5 games. While Bush will need to complement Brees and the passing game with Colston, Meachem, Henderson, and Shockey leading the way.
Another thing which should be interesting to watch is Darren Sharper versus Sidney Rice and Favre, as Sharper and Favre were teammates in Green Bay, and then Sharper got traded to New Orleans from Minnesota in the offseason. Sharper was also second in the NFL in interceptions throughout the season. I think Sharper will pick off Favre once this game and return in for a TD.
Finally, the Saints will be playing at home, and the city is united around this team, and they will have a huge home field advantage playing in this stadium and this game.

This will be the blowout game: New Orleans 38, Minnesota 23

Next Week: reviewing my midseason picks, along with analysis of why the NFL moved the Pro Bowl this should be fun.

Monday, January 18, 2010

Aussie Open Thoughts

The Aussie Open is the least prestegious of all 4 majors, but it gives you a little teaser to what is to come in the summer up here in the northern hemisphere. The Aussie is also a nice change of pace to football, basketball, and hockey, and it also gives you a little bit of a teaser to summer, when we all can get out and play some of this great game. Everyone still wants to win this, as it's still a major, but I don't think that players may prepare for this major like they may a French or a Wimbledon.


A great example of that is when Maria Sharapova lost in the 1st round to Maria Kirilenko, and she never did any warm up tourneys, just an exhibition match, and she got burned for not playing a previous tourney. She didn't move too well, and her serve wasn't as sharp as we've seen it. Perhaps she'll do better at the French in June.

Another person who went out very early was Robin Soderling, the no.8 player in the world on the men's side, he didn't play well at all, losing in straight sets, and causing a ton of unforced errors.

Then, you've got the comeback Belgians, Kim Clijsters who looks better than ever physically, even after having a baby, lost in the 3rd round love and 1, this after winning the
U.S. Open in September after being unranked going into that tournamen. But, her countrywoman Justine Henin, after a 20 month break, since I will not call it a retirement, when she never actually retired, came back and finished runner-up to Serena Williams and I think we've all forgotten about that U.S. Open tirade she did back in September after her foot fault.
Also on the women's side, we saw two Chinese women in the semifinals, which is the first time that's ever been accomplished, and the Chinese look to be forming some very good players out of there sporting schools. The Chinese may be like the Russians were about a decade ago when all of them started coming onto the scene, watch out for them throughout the '10s.

Finally, Roger Federer is the man, nobody will ever top his majors, nobody can ever top his work ethic, and nobody can ever top his class. He won over Andy Murray and is very quick to say he's played an excellent match, and he will be winning even more majors throughout the early part of this decade. Remember, he's only 28! Fed can win majors up until he's 31-32, the same age Pete Sampras was when he won his final major. But, let's not forget the Scot Andy Murray, who lost to Federer in the U.S. Open Final in 2008. He's been putting together a nice string of majors and I'm calling it right now, He will win Wimbledon this year and make the English very happy.

Now it's a long 4 month wait until the French Starts. But, here's hoping it's a good one.

Friday, January 15, 2010

NFL Playoffs: Divisional Round

One of the best weekends for football in the entire year, as you normally have some very good games this weekend, and get to see who goes on to the final 4 of the NFL. Plus, it's always interesting to see how the bye teams from the wild card round perform in this round. Is it a curse or a blessing to have the bye week? It could go either way. Also, this blog does say the sports blog...with other random thoughts. Here is one of those: Haiti needed our help before this earthquake even occurred, because it was in the bottom 10 of poorest countries in the world. Haiti will need our help long after the earthquake has left our heads and memories. That doesn't just go for Haiti, but for all of the poor countries in the world, may we give some of our money to them. I'm not being a hypocrite either, as I am donating some money to the Red Cross. Also, be sure your charity is reliable for donating. A great site to check out for all of the websites to go and donate to is: pghmetrocru.blogspot.com. Finally, time for the picks, again chronologically.

Arizona Cardinals vs. New Orleans Saints

Granted, New Orleans didn't perform too well down the stretch, as they really should have finished 12-4, as they should've lost against Washington. And, they lost against one of the worst teams in the league, the Bucs. But, through week 12, New Orleans was one of the more dominant teams in the league. Arizona then is a Jekyll and Hyde act, meaning they can be amazing one week, and suck the next. I.E., last week, as they were horrible in the first half and amazing in the second half. So, who knows what will come this week. All we know for sure is that it should be filled with a lot of passing and a lot of scoring, as both teams finished in the top 5 for points, and Arizona gave up 45 last week. The only thing holding me back a little bit from picking the Saints and Drew Brees' pheonomenal passing game is Kurt Warner's equally amazing passing attack, and his 10-3 career record in the postseason, and 2 of those 3 losses came in the Super Bowl. I'm going with heart over head on this one, picking New Orleans.

New Orleans 45, Arizona 41

Baltimore Ravens vs. Indianapolis Colts

Another rematch from earlier in the season, which the Colts won in a close one, 17-15. That was also when the Colts were undefeated, and at Baltimore. This is an intriguing game because the Ravens couldn't produce a touchdown last meeting, and the Colts weren't much better, as they produced a few turnovers, which helped the Ravens stay in the game. The Ravens also could've won the game if it hadn't been for a 30 yarder going wide right. This game will be relatively close, just because it's basically a run vs. pass game, and whether or not Peyton can exploit the Ravens depleted secondary. I just don;t trust Peyton in the postseason though, as he has routinely failed in the postseason, not making it past the AFC Championship games in most seasons, and sometimes not even past here, so hence the Ravens pick.

Ravens 17, Colts 13

Dallas Cowboys vs. Minnesota Vikings

America's Team versus America's favorite love him or hate him QB=Boffo Ratings. But, ratings aside, both teams have been going in opposite directions, as the Vikings have lost 3 of their last 4, whilst the Cowboys have been burning every piece of land they touch with their 3 headed running attack, and Tony Romo playing amazing. But, Favre came back...again for one purpose, to win a Super Bowl, and he'll continue to come back until he wins one more, even if he's 50. The Vikings really struggled down the stretch because their running game wasn't as effective, Favre was having his annual December swoon, and the defense wasn't playing as well, and the week of rest for the Vikings is probably best, considering they're an older team, and I think they'll refocus enough to squeak by the Cowboys.

Vikings 30, Cowboys 28

New York Jets vs. San Diego Chargers

Most intriguing matchup of the entire weekend, and best matchup, as both teams are coming in fairly hot, with the Chargers winning 11 straight after losing to Denver on MNF. After the Jets backdoored their way in, they demolished Cincy, and again, have the two things which win in the playoffs: number 1 defense and number 1 running game. Have both of those, and you will always have a shot to win. San Diego is looking to go to the Super Bowl for the first time since '94 when they got blown out by San Fran, and this is looking like the year to do it, having a very good defense, and exceptional passing game. The only part lacking is the running game, but in SD, an average running game is just as well. I expect the Chargers to win on their passing game, because Darelle Revis can't cover Jackson, Floyd and Gates.

San Diego 24, New York 13

Remember Haiti, and no top 10 games of 09 anymore, cause no suggestions for them. Next week: Championship preview.

Wednesday, January 6, 2010

NFL Playoffs Wild Card Predictions

ESPN calls Bowl week the best time of the year for them, as there is basically a bowl game each night of the week from Dec. 17 to January 2, this year anyway. But, for most folks, this right here is the best time of the year, as more folks care about the NFL than college. This year also has some of the biggest names in the NFL, as well as some team nobody expected to be in the playoffs. The NFL also has 6 teams who are new to the playoffs this year compared to last year. Now, on to the predictions in chronological order.

New York Jets vs. Cincinnatti Bengals

In the first of 3 rematches from week 17, which were all blowouts, this is the least intriguing of them all. The reasons being that Cincinnatti is in the playoffs, which nobody predicted at the beginning of the season, and the fact they are a small market team. The Jets also backed their way into the playoffs, as they won over Indy solely because Indy rested their players starting in the 3rd quarter when Indy had the lead, and was looking to win that game. But, it should still be a good game, as both teams are very evely matched in all their stats, as the Bengals really only lead in rushing yards per game, led by the rejuvenated Cedric Benson, who was picked up the Bengals after he was released by the Bears last season. But, the Jets are also led by a potent running game led by Thomas Jones. Both backs will bruise and punish you. Both defenses are among the best in the league as well, as Rex Ryan has led the Jets from one of the poorer defenses in the league to the top 5 in total defense. The only difference I see is that I don't know how Mark Sanchez can handle Cincy's blitzes and different formations. But, Carson Pakmer and Chad Ochocinco will take htis one and avenge their loss from Sunday.

The Pick: Cincy 23, Ny Jets 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys

The most difficult matchup for me personally to pick, as I'm a beloved Eagles fan and HATE the Cowboys, even calling them the Cowgirls, but taking all of that aside, this should be an amazing game, for multiple reasons: divisional game, Eagles trying to avenge their losses from earlier in the season, and Dallas trying to win their first playoff game since 1996. Dallas completely destroyed the Eagles on Sunday, as they piled on more than 300 yareds passing and nearly 200 in rushing. Philadelphia never seemed to show up in the game, much like last season's regular season finale when the Cowboys never seemed to show up. Philadelphia needs to show up in this game or else the same result from week 17 will occur. I'm picking the Cowboys more so because they seem to have exorcised their demons from December, going 3-0 down the stretch and the fact that they want to win one for Jerry Jones inside of "Jerry World" AKA Cowboys Stadium. But, that does not change my fanhood nor does it mean I'm rooting for the Cowboys.

The Pick: Dallas 24, Philly 17

Baltimore Ravens vs. New England Patriots

This game is the only one which does not feature a matchup from week 17, but these teams did play in week 4 of the regular season. The only big difference this time around though is that Wes Welker, the Patriots return man and leading receiver is out for the playoffs with a torn ACL and MCL. The weather will also be a lot different, as back then, folks were wearing shorts on the sidelines, now they'll be bundled up as temps are forecasted in the lower 20s. Baltimore closed out the season winning 3 of their last four to squeak their way into the playoffs in the crowded AFC playoff picture. New England will be in for a fight, as they have a very inexperienced defense, and that defense is not the best in the league, only 10th compared to Baltimore's which is ranked 3rd, and the main reason why I'm going with them, along with the fact that they have much more of a running game and Joe Flacco is a poised quarterback, not seeming phased by the playoffs.

The Pick: Baltimore 27, New England 19

Green Bay Packers vs. Arizona Cardinals

The final rematch of week 17, but again, this was a blowout win for the Packers, because Arizona had already locked in the fourth seed in the playoffs, so they rested most of their players, so that defeat does not really matter. Arizona is still a relative unknown because of their small market and the fact they play in the NFC West, which is one of the worst divisions in all of football. But, this should be quite a game, as Green Bay has rebounded from being a 6-10 team last year recovering from the Brett Favre era to being one of the best teams who didn't win their division, as Minnesota was too good throughout the early part of the season for Green Bay to catch them. Green Bay's main weakness is that they cannot protect Aaron Rodgers worth their lives, giving up the most sacks in all of football. Rodgers still managed 4th in the league in passing though, whilst his counterpart, Kurt Warner was 10th with being protected quite easily by his offensive line. Anquan Boldin though may be out with a sprained knee, but Arizona has too many other weapons for them to lose too much of anything. Green Bay will continue their hot streak, and win their 5th of 6 games.

The Pick: Green Bay 26, Arizona 24

Stay Tuned for the top 10 games of all of 2009. Aynone got ideas for the top 10 games of 2009? I have SB 43, Big East Tourney SYR vs. UConn, British Open Final Round, Wimbledon Roddick vs. Federer, Stanley Cup Final Game 7, MIN vs. DET play in game for the AL Central title. Any other ideas would be greatly appreciated.

Sunday, January 3, 2010

Final Bowl Picks

This has been a very fun and exciting bowl season, with a ton of upsets, and plenty of close games, now for the final few games of the bowl season, which is waaaaaaaaaaaaaayyy too long. But, it's also waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaayyy too fun for me to complain about it much.
Now, to talk about the best player in college football history, Tim Tebow, and his statement game against Cincy. He took it upon himself to show that he truly is the best player, as he himself had 533 yards of total offense. Teams want that in a game, to do that by one player is insane. Tebow will be a niche quarterback in the NFL, probably being selected by the Jaguars to create buzz there, since there isn't much. He will need to develop into a better pocket passer and to learn not to run as much, and to learn how to take snaps from under center. But, to do what he has done in his career at Florida, winning a Heisman, winning two national titles, and winning 3 BCS bowl games, is ridiculous, but so good. Here's hoping that he succeeds, and continues to spread his God, the Lord Jesus Christ throughout the country and world.

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl: TCU vs. Boise State
This is essentially for the number two spot in the final polls, as the winner will be the only other undefeated team left in the nation. This is also a rematch of last season's Poinsettia Bowl, which was won by TCU 17-16, as Boise blew a fourth quarter lead. The things about this bowl is that I personally wish this was for the national title, but if it wasn't, that these times would be able to face an AQ school in order to prove themselves against the big boys. But, since it isn't, just take it in and watch two excellent schools play another excellent game. Both teams rank in the top five in total offense, mainly because both teams beat up on their opponents to get better rankings. Both teams defenses also rank in the top five, so it's so tough to pick this match up. It's basically a coin flip, and I'm going with the revenge factor.

Pick: Boise State 23, TCU 21 (Confidence Level: 3)

FedEx Orange Bowl: Georgia Tech vs. Iowa

This is the lamest out of all of the BCS matchups, and it fittingly ends Fox's run of broadcasting the BCS before it permanently moves over to ESPN next season. Iowa was the Big 10's darling throughout the regular season before losing to Northwestern in early November. Iowa always found ways to win games, and they also put in a resilient effort against Ohio State, when they were without their leader, senior quarterback Ricky Stanzi, but lost 27-24 in OT. Iowa will also put up a staunch effort here, just continually fight back and never go down. Georgia Tech won their first outright ACC title since their national title back in 1990, thanks to Paul Johnson and his military academy style offense, the triple option, which is so tough to defend against, hence how they have back to back 10 win seasons.

Pick: Georgia Tech 30, Iowa 29 (Confidence Level: 2)

GMAC Bowl: Central Michigan vs. Troy

Features Tim Tebow lite in Dan LeFevour, who has all of the dynamics as Tebow, without the hype or recognition, but he did set the NCAA record for total TDs in a career, with 143, surpassing Tebow even. He did this under the tutelage of new Cincy coach Butch Jones, who helped LeFevour flourish. Sun Belt champion Troy is no sloch either, scoring 33 points per game in their last 9 games. Both teams don't know each other at all either, since they've never faced each other.

Pick: Central Michigan 34, Troy 23 (Confidence Level: 16)

BCS National Championship Game Presented by Citi: Alabama vs. Texas

Bama comes into this game carrying momentum as they handled Florida easily, pounding them with their defense led by Terrence Cody, who is much like Ndamukong Suh, who reaked havoc against Texas' O-Line, I expect him to do the same to Texas. Bama also pounded Florida with Heisman trophy winner Mark Ingram, who rushed for 113 yards and 3 TDs ion the romp against Florida, which Texas' denfense probably will not be able to stop, as they're used to passing offenses, just ask Texas Tech and how they couldn't stop Michigan State's rushing attack, which is significantly weaker than Bama's. Texas however has 2 things going for it, the roommates Colt McCoy and Jordan Shipley. Shipley is one of the most explosive returners in all of college football who has ran back a few for TDs this season. Then, McCoy has receivrs to throw it to, it's just whether gets the time, if Coidy gets to him before then or not. I'm betting no.

Pick: Texas 41, Bama 39 (Confidence Level: 1)

Stay on the lookout for NFL playoff predictions sometime later this week.