We are now a quarter way mark of the NFL season, with every team playing four games and you are starting to see which teams are separating themselves from the pack, like the Packers, Lions, Saints, Texans, Patriots, Baltimore, and some others. Plus, every college team has played at least four games, but some teams have yet to prove themselves on the road, like three Big Ten teams in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Illinois. Plus, there's Kansas State. So, really only the Big Ten teams are at fault, as at least K-State played Baylor at home, a ranked team and upset them. Wisconsin also played the biggest game of the season thus far and beat Nebraska soundly at home. But, enough with the previews, and move on to the picks!
College
#3 Oklahoma vs. #11 Texas, noon, ABC, at Cotton Bowl in Dallas
This is the Red River Rivalry, and it could turn into the Red River shootout as well. Both teams have very potent offenses, especially Texas after they decided to ditch Garrett Gilbert in their game against BYU. As after they replaced Gilbert, the Longhorns have averaged 43 points in their ensuing two games. Texas has done very well exchanging either Case McCoy or David Ash in for one another, and their defense has done a fine job as well, only allowing a little under 15 points per game throughout all four of their contests thus far.
Oklahoma on the other hand has their eyes on the national title or bust. Oklahoma has a whole bunch of veterans, led by Landry Jones and Ryan Broyles on offense, and Tony Jefferson and Blake Gideon. The Sooners have some high hopes, and those hopes will continue, as they beat Texas and exact revenge from 2008, the last time both teams came into this rivalry undefeated. Oklahoma will do it because of their experience.
Pick: Oklahoma 38, Texas 23
#17 Florida at #1 LSU, 3:30, CBS
Florida is coming off a woeful loss at home to Alabama, and that game was in prime time as well. The Gators also lost their starting quarterback John Brantley in that game. Now, Florida must try to get a new quarterback to learn everything in their system in a week, plus travel to "death valley" and face one of the nation's best defenses in LSU. The Bayou Bengals also have a defensive Heisman candidate like they did last year in Tyrann Mathieu, who just goes straight after the football every time to try and force a turnover. So, my guess is that Florida is probably going to have a very tough time against this Tiger defense.
Pick: LSU 41, Florida 17
#5 Boise State at Fresno State, 9 Friday, ESPN
Fresno State and Boise State have been longtime rivals within the WAC, but now with Boise moving on to supposedly greener pastures in the Mountain West, this has become a non-conference game. Fresno State always seems to play its best against premier competition like Boise, but can the "bus" of Boise State be stopped? Kellen Moore seems to be doing better this season even without his two big targets Titus Young and Austin Pettis. So, it'll be a good game for the first half, but the Broncos should pull away in the second half.
Pick: Boise 31, Fresno St. 16
Iowa at Penn State, 3:30, ABC
If Penn State can stick with Matt McGloin at quarterback throughout an entire game, they may actually have an okay offense. Penn State and their defense is the main reason why they're 4-1 at the moment, with the only loss to a great Alabama team. Iowa is coming into Penn State playing its first conference game this season, and its only loss coming at an improved Iowa State team. Penn State should be able to hold Iowa on defense, and I think they'll score a few more points if McGloin starts.
Pick: Penn State 20, Iowa 17
#15 Auburn at #10 Arkansas, 7, ESPN
Auburn went from unranked last week to number 15 this week due to their win on the road at South Carolina. Auburn played stellar defense last week, forcing four turnovers and riding sophomore running back Michael Dyer to a victory. Auburn slowed down sophomore sensation Marcus Lattimore and only allowed him to rush for 66 yards last week. Plus, they didn't allow Gamecock quarterback to even complete half his passes. However, Auburn hasn't been playing like that throughout the season.
Arkansas on the other hand, is an offensive juggernaut, scoring at least 38 points in each of their victories, with their only loss coming at undefeated Alabama. Tyler Wilson is becoming the next Ryan Mallett at Arkansas, and they don't seem to be stopping.
Pick: Arkansas 44, Auburn 20
NFL
Tennessee at Pittsburgh, 1, CBS
Tennessee has also been a good surprise this season, going 3-1 on the young season, relying on their defense and an experienced quarterback to lead the way. Even though Chris Johnson hasn't been his usual self this year, Matthew Hasselbeck, released by the Seahawks for some inexplicable reason, has been wonderful. Hasselbeck already has over 1100 yards and eight touchdowns this season.
Pittsburgh, on the other hand has been like Philly and a bad surprise, going 2-2, and being one of the worst teams in the league in turnover differential, at -10 thus far. Pittsburgh also has yet to intercept a pass, which is surprising, considering they still have ball-hawking safety Troy Polamalu. Pittsburgh also is going to be without their star linebacker James Harrison in this game, as he is out with a broken orbital bone. Plus, they won't have their best two running backs in Rashard Mendenhall or Mewelde Moore due to injuries. So, for those injuries, I'm picking the Titans in a low scoring affair.
Pick: Tennessee 17, Pittsburgh 13
Philadelphia at Buffalo, 1, Fox
Both teams are off to very surprising starts, with the Eagles losing three of their first four games and the Bills winning three of their first four, including two 18 plus point comebacks against the Raiders and Patriots. This should be a very high scoring game, as Buffalo can't seem to gain a pass rush whatsoever, only having four sacks on the season thus far, which should allow LeSean McCoy and Michael Vick to be able to run all day. Vick could also pass to any of his weapons should the Bills decide to blitz.
Buffalo meanwhile has a good running ack in Fred Jackson they can use to exploit Philly's awful rush defense, which ranks 30th in the NFL. The Eagles also lost one of their two great defensive ends in Trent Cole for a few weeks, so Ryan Fitzpatrick could have some more time to pass to his decent wide receivers in Stevie Johnson and Scott Chandler. The Eagles should be able to win this game, just so long as they don't blow leads like they have in each of the past three games.
Pick: Eagles 38, Bills 31
Tampa Bay at San Francisco, 4, Fox
Tampa has been playing just as well as it did last season when it went 10-6 and narrowly missing out on the playoffs. Tampa has come back for victories in half of their games thus far for victories. Tampa has a very cool, calm, and collected quarterback in Josh Freeman to lead those comebacks. Tampa also has a pretty good young running back in LeGarrette Blount. San Francisco meanwhile has been breaking through this season, after a few years of saying "this will be the year." They've been doing it with a stellar defense led by leading tackler Patrick Willis and a running game led by pro bowler Frank Gore and rookie Kendall Hunter. San Francisco also is having Alex Smith focus on his strengths and not exploit his weaknesses.
Pick: San Francisco 27, Tampa 21
New York Jets at New England, 4:15, CBS
The Jets exploited New England in last year's divisional playoff, winning 28-21, and picking off Tom Brady for the first time since week six of last season. However, New England beat New York 45-3 last December. So, this is definitely a rivalry game, both teams don't like each other at all, and this is going to be a very tough game. Even though New York has lost two straight, it's a rivalry game, so throw everything out the window. Just expect hard hitting and a lot of running by New York, and a lot of passing by New England.
Pick: New York 26, New England 24
Green Bay at Atlanta, 8:20, NBC
This is also a rematch of a divisional playoff game last season, where Green Bay absolutely demolished Atlanta 48-21. Green Bay has been on the same kind of roll at the beginning of this season as it has last season, so I'm expecting nothing different now. Green Bay just is clicking on all cylinders.Atlanta hasn't been the same team this season, only going 2-2, and only barely winning last week against a horrible Seattle team.
Pick: Green Bay 32, Atlanta 20
Friday, October 7, 2011
Thursday, September 29, 2011
10 Best Football Games-Week 5
Football still reigns as king of sports in this country, so even while the postseason of baseball is happening, football will get the higher ratings. But, aside from that, there are some really exciting games in college and the pro game this weekend. College football is really starting its conference games this weekend. College also has four games between ranked opponents. And there are some potential playoff games in the NFL. Now, on to the picks!
College
#14 Texas A&M vs. #18 Arkansas at Arlington, Texas. Noon, ESPN
Both teams are coming off losses last week. Arkansas suffered a blowout to Alabama and A&M blew their lead against Oklahoma State. This game actually could be a preview of the Cotton Bowl in the new year, as both teams are really good, just not BCS worthy. Both teams are looking to rebound, but I think that Arkansas will come out on top with their superior offense.
Pick: Arkansas 29, Texas A&M 20
#15 Baylor at Kansas State, 3:30, ESPN3.com
This game is not being shown in the state of PA, but check your local listings if you are outside the state. Anway, this game is featuring Heisman hopeful Robert Griffin III, who amazingly has more touchdown passes this season 13, than incompletions 12. Kansas State is a fairly surprising 3-0, but with only one of their wins coming against a BCS conference team in Miami. However, Baylor is looking like a legitimate team, with wins against perennial contender TCU, and two other cupcake teams. So, this will give them at least a little bit of a test to see if they could beat teams like Oklahoma State or Texas A&M.
Pick: Baylor 38, Kansas State 20
#13 Clemson at #11 Virginia Tech, 6, ESPN2
Clemson has feasted on some good old fashioned home cooking in Death Valley, with them beating defending champion Auburn and Florida State while getting excellent play from their quarterback Tajh Boyd only throwing one interception and throwing for 13 touchdowns. Virginia Tech meanwhile has feasted on cupcake teams, going 4-0 thus far playing "Beamerball" which is superior defense and special teams while their offense does their job. Clemson will have a huge test here, but I think they'll pass it.
Pick: Clemson 34, Virginia Tech 28
#8 Nebraska at #7 Wisconsin, 8, ABC
Nebraska is having its first Big Ten conference game in a very tough environment, in Camp Randall stadium, at night, which makes the atmosphere even that much more intense. But, Nebraska has the offense to matchup against the Badgers, led by the option and Taylor Martinez, who has 400 plus yards trailed closely by backfield teammate Rex Burkhead. So, Wisconsin will have a tough time trying to deal with the option. But, Nebraska hasn't really been the blackshirt defense that most have come to expect. As Nebraska gave up 29 points to a Fresno State and 38 to a Washington team whose offenses aren't all that good. Wisconsin meanwhile has a Heisman candidate of its own in quarterback Russell Wilson, who is the first really good quarterback that has come into Wisconsin for a while. Wisconsin has been doing just fine, and feasting on cupcake teams. But, I think with Wisconsin being at home, they'll eke out a close win.
Pick: Wisconsin 28, Nebraska 24
#3 Alabama at #12 Florida
Alabama has been the dominant defensive force as advertised, while AJ McCarron has been the steadying hand just like Greg McIlroy was last year. Plus, Trent Richardson has been just as advertised, being a strong runner that he's supposed to be. Florida meanwhile is thriving under new head coach Will Muschamp, and this will be their first really big test. Florida has some really fast wide receiver/running backs in Chris Rainey and Jeff Demps, who if they are in the open field can definitely break one for a touchdown. So, this will be a hard fought SEC battle, with the loser being in dire straits for the National Championship.
Pick: Alabama 23, Florida 21
NFL
Detroit at Dallas, 1, Fox
Dallas is coming off a short week and a lucky victory against division rival Washignton where there were some very poor route running along with some communication and snap problems, which if they commit those kinds of mistakes against this Detroit team will be very costly. As Detroit has been on a roll ever since the start of the season, beating opponents with grit and their defense. Plus, it doesn't hurt that Matthew Stafford has been hooking up with his favorite target, Calvin Johnson on a regular basis.
Pick: Detroit 27, Dallas 17
Pittsburgh at Houston, 1, CBS
Pittsburgh is coming off a grind it out victory against a resilient Indianapolis team which had them kick a field goal in the final minutes to win it. Houston is coming off a shootout loss to New Orleans. Houston and Pittsburgh have very differing styles, with Houston having a great offense and especially running game with Arian Foster and Ben Tate leading the way. Then Pittsburgh and its blitzing scheme led by their four great linebackers. Both teams are still trying to prove themselves, and this could be a turning point in both of their seasons, as one will improve to 3-1, with the other falling to 2-2. With Houston being at home, I think they'll have the advantage.
Pick: Houston 34, Pittsburgh 30
San Francisco at Philadelphia, 1, Fox
San Francisco is coming out east for the second straight week, playing a grind it out game against Cincinatti last week, winning 13-8. Philadelphia meanwhile, is coming off its second straight loss, which is having some fans already nearing the panic button. San Francisco has some good defensive linemen along with perhaps the best linebacker in the league, Patrick Willis. So, Philadelphia needs to try and protect Michael Vick before he continues to pile up more injuries. I think with the time difference, the Eagles will summon up the energy to protect Vick and will win to improve their record to 2-2.
Pick: Philly 28, San Fran 13
New England at Oakland, 4:15, CBS
Oakland is coming off a very nice victory over AFC runner up New York, to improve their record to 2-1, which could be 3-0 if they hadn't blown a lead to surprising Buffalo. Speaking of Buffalo, they came back again versus their nemesis and division rival New England. So, while Oakland may start to be turning it around, they'll be facing an angry New England team, which is quite good after losses under Bill Belichick.
Pick: New England 42, Oakland 24
New York Jets at Baltimore, 8:20, NBC
This was a hard hitting, low scoring opening night game last season, and expect nothing different this time around. Both teams feature great defenses, and great running games. So, expect this game to feature few touchdowns, many field goals, and A LOT of punting. It's going to be a good game to watch if you're a fan of old fashioned old school football.
Pick: Baltimore 13, New York 10
College
#14 Texas A&M vs. #18 Arkansas at Arlington, Texas. Noon, ESPN
Both teams are coming off losses last week. Arkansas suffered a blowout to Alabama and A&M blew their lead against Oklahoma State. This game actually could be a preview of the Cotton Bowl in the new year, as both teams are really good, just not BCS worthy. Both teams are looking to rebound, but I think that Arkansas will come out on top with their superior offense.
Pick: Arkansas 29, Texas A&M 20
#15 Baylor at Kansas State, 3:30, ESPN3.com
This game is not being shown in the state of PA, but check your local listings if you are outside the state. Anway, this game is featuring Heisman hopeful Robert Griffin III, who amazingly has more touchdown passes this season 13, than incompletions 12. Kansas State is a fairly surprising 3-0, but with only one of their wins coming against a BCS conference team in Miami. However, Baylor is looking like a legitimate team, with wins against perennial contender TCU, and two other cupcake teams. So, this will give them at least a little bit of a test to see if they could beat teams like Oklahoma State or Texas A&M.
Pick: Baylor 38, Kansas State 20
#13 Clemson at #11 Virginia Tech, 6, ESPN2
Clemson has feasted on some good old fashioned home cooking in Death Valley, with them beating defending champion Auburn and Florida State while getting excellent play from their quarterback Tajh Boyd only throwing one interception and throwing for 13 touchdowns. Virginia Tech meanwhile has feasted on cupcake teams, going 4-0 thus far playing "Beamerball" which is superior defense and special teams while their offense does their job. Clemson will have a huge test here, but I think they'll pass it.
Pick: Clemson 34, Virginia Tech 28
#8 Nebraska at #7 Wisconsin, 8, ABC
Nebraska is having its first Big Ten conference game in a very tough environment, in Camp Randall stadium, at night, which makes the atmosphere even that much more intense. But, Nebraska has the offense to matchup against the Badgers, led by the option and Taylor Martinez, who has 400 plus yards trailed closely by backfield teammate Rex Burkhead. So, Wisconsin will have a tough time trying to deal with the option. But, Nebraska hasn't really been the blackshirt defense that most have come to expect. As Nebraska gave up 29 points to a Fresno State and 38 to a Washington team whose offenses aren't all that good. Wisconsin meanwhile has a Heisman candidate of its own in quarterback Russell Wilson, who is the first really good quarterback that has come into Wisconsin for a while. Wisconsin has been doing just fine, and feasting on cupcake teams. But, I think with Wisconsin being at home, they'll eke out a close win.
Pick: Wisconsin 28, Nebraska 24
#3 Alabama at #12 Florida
Alabama has been the dominant defensive force as advertised, while AJ McCarron has been the steadying hand just like Greg McIlroy was last year. Plus, Trent Richardson has been just as advertised, being a strong runner that he's supposed to be. Florida meanwhile is thriving under new head coach Will Muschamp, and this will be their first really big test. Florida has some really fast wide receiver/running backs in Chris Rainey and Jeff Demps, who if they are in the open field can definitely break one for a touchdown. So, this will be a hard fought SEC battle, with the loser being in dire straits for the National Championship.
Pick: Alabama 23, Florida 21
NFL
Detroit at Dallas, 1, Fox
Dallas is coming off a short week and a lucky victory against division rival Washignton where there were some very poor route running along with some communication and snap problems, which if they commit those kinds of mistakes against this Detroit team will be very costly. As Detroit has been on a roll ever since the start of the season, beating opponents with grit and their defense. Plus, it doesn't hurt that Matthew Stafford has been hooking up with his favorite target, Calvin Johnson on a regular basis.
Pick: Detroit 27, Dallas 17
Pittsburgh at Houston, 1, CBS
Pittsburgh is coming off a grind it out victory against a resilient Indianapolis team which had them kick a field goal in the final minutes to win it. Houston is coming off a shootout loss to New Orleans. Houston and Pittsburgh have very differing styles, with Houston having a great offense and especially running game with Arian Foster and Ben Tate leading the way. Then Pittsburgh and its blitzing scheme led by their four great linebackers. Both teams are still trying to prove themselves, and this could be a turning point in both of their seasons, as one will improve to 3-1, with the other falling to 2-2. With Houston being at home, I think they'll have the advantage.
Pick: Houston 34, Pittsburgh 30
San Francisco at Philadelphia, 1, Fox
San Francisco is coming out east for the second straight week, playing a grind it out game against Cincinatti last week, winning 13-8. Philadelphia meanwhile, is coming off its second straight loss, which is having some fans already nearing the panic button. San Francisco has some good defensive linemen along with perhaps the best linebacker in the league, Patrick Willis. So, Philadelphia needs to try and protect Michael Vick before he continues to pile up more injuries. I think with the time difference, the Eagles will summon up the energy to protect Vick and will win to improve their record to 2-2.
Pick: Philly 28, San Fran 13
New England at Oakland, 4:15, CBS
Oakland is coming off a very nice victory over AFC runner up New York, to improve their record to 2-1, which could be 3-0 if they hadn't blown a lead to surprising Buffalo. Speaking of Buffalo, they came back again versus their nemesis and division rival New England. So, while Oakland may start to be turning it around, they'll be facing an angry New England team, which is quite good after losses under Bill Belichick.
Pick: New England 42, Oakland 24
New York Jets at Baltimore, 8:20, NBC
This was a hard hitting, low scoring opening night game last season, and expect nothing different this time around. Both teams feature great defenses, and great running games. So, expect this game to feature few touchdowns, many field goals, and A LOT of punting. It's going to be a good game to watch if you're a fan of old fashioned old school football.
Pick: Baltimore 13, New York 10
MLB Division Series Previews/Prediction
Talk about one crazy season, especially the month of September, with not one but two teams absolutely collapsing down the stretch. Because, as of September 1, both the Boston Red Sox and Atlanta Braves had sizable wild card leads over the Tampa Bay Rays and St. Louis Cardinals respectively. Plus, all divisional leads were sizable at the time as well. So, baseball's races were not looking like much heading into the final month, but in the end, Tampa and St. Louis each nabbed the wild card slots in each league. Now, there are four good match ups in the divisional round. Plus, there really are only two, maybe even one surprise team in the playoffs which weren't predicted to make the playoffs in the beginning of the season. Those two teams are Tampa and Arizona. But, if they're in the playoffs they definitely have some good teams. But, enough with the season, allow me to preview the second season and separate the men from the boys so to speak. Schedules are included and all games are on TBS unless otherwise noted.
ALDS
Tampa Bay vs. Texas. Schedule: Friday at 5, Saturday at 7 on TNT, Monday at 5, Tuesday, Thursday
These two teams faced off last year in the division series with Texas coming out on top in five games. Both teams remain largely unchanged from last season, with one notable exception, and that is Cliff Lee is no longer with the Rangers. So, with that said, I think both teams are very evenly matched. Both teams are coming into the postseason red hot, but which team will come out on top? I believe that Texas has a better overall starting pitching and bullpen, so I'll go with Texas.
Pick: Texas in 5
ALDS
Detroit vs. New York Yankees. Schedule: Friday at 8:30, Saturday at 8:30, Monday at 8:30, Tuesday, Thursday
Both of these teams are really good. Both teams have tremendous offenses, and both have great bullpens, so, the question is which team has the better starting pitching? Well, it's Detroit. Detroit has by far the better pitching, as after CC Sabathia and Ivan Nova, the Yankees don't really have anyone reliable. Freddy Garcia, Bartolo Colon and A.J. Burnett have all not fared very well over the second half of the season. However, with Detroit, while you may not know anyone beyond Justin Verlander, there are some good pitchers like Doug Fister, who went 7-1 down the stretch with a 1.71 ERA. Then, there is Max Scherzer, who struggled a little bit down the stretch but is still a good pitcher. So, with that said, I believe Detroit will knock off the Yankees much like they did in 2006 on their way to the World Series. Plus, I hate the Yankees guts.
Pick: Detroit in 4.
NLDS
Arizona vs. Milwaukee. Schedule: Saturday, 2, Sunday 430, Tuesday, Wednesday, Friday
This is the most underrated and under the radar series of all four, as both teams are not really "name" teams. both teams come from relatively small markets in Milwaukee and Phoenix. However, Milwaukee is on a mission to win the World Series, as this is their season before Prince Fielder leaves. Milwaukee has some experience in the postseason with them making the 2008 postseason and losing to the eventual champion Phillies in the divisional series. Arizona doesn't really have any postseason experience, however, their manager and coaching staff have plenty of it. So, with their coaching staff, they've got a fighting chance.
Pick: Milwaukee in 4.
NLDS
Philadelphia vs. St. Louis. Schedule: Saturday at 5, Sunday at 8, Tuesday, Wednesday, Friday
The Phillies struggled down the stretch, until they won their final four games. So, it seems as if they've flipped the switch into playoff mode. St. Louis has been in playoff mode the entire month to grab the wild card spot in the NL. St. Louis has some heavy hitters in Lance Berkman, Matt Holliday, and of course the best player in the league, Albert Pujols. However, the Phillies have a very balanced lineup with speed and power ranging from Jimmy Rollins to Hunter Pence to Ryan Howard. St. Louis and the Phillies played a four game series earlier in the month with St. Louis taking 3 out of 4, will that change with the postseason? A little bit. Both teams have fairly questionable bullpens, but St. Louis is by far the more questionable one, hence why I'm going with the Phils, but it's going to be one tough series.
Pick: Phillies in 5.
ALDS
Tampa Bay vs. Texas. Schedule: Friday at 5, Saturday at 7 on TNT, Monday at 5, Tuesday, Thursday
These two teams faced off last year in the division series with Texas coming out on top in five games. Both teams remain largely unchanged from last season, with one notable exception, and that is Cliff Lee is no longer with the Rangers. So, with that said, I think both teams are very evenly matched. Both teams are coming into the postseason red hot, but which team will come out on top? I believe that Texas has a better overall starting pitching and bullpen, so I'll go with Texas.
Pick: Texas in 5
ALDS
Detroit vs. New York Yankees. Schedule: Friday at 8:30, Saturday at 8:30, Monday at 8:30, Tuesday, Thursday
Both of these teams are really good. Both teams have tremendous offenses, and both have great bullpens, so, the question is which team has the better starting pitching? Well, it's Detroit. Detroit has by far the better pitching, as after CC Sabathia and Ivan Nova, the Yankees don't really have anyone reliable. Freddy Garcia, Bartolo Colon and A.J. Burnett have all not fared very well over the second half of the season. However, with Detroit, while you may not know anyone beyond Justin Verlander, there are some good pitchers like Doug Fister, who went 7-1 down the stretch with a 1.71 ERA. Then, there is Max Scherzer, who struggled a little bit down the stretch but is still a good pitcher. So, with that said, I believe Detroit will knock off the Yankees much like they did in 2006 on their way to the World Series. Plus, I hate the Yankees guts.
Pick: Detroit in 4.
NLDS
Arizona vs. Milwaukee. Schedule: Saturday, 2, Sunday 430, Tuesday, Wednesday, Friday
This is the most underrated and under the radar series of all four, as both teams are not really "name" teams. both teams come from relatively small markets in Milwaukee and Phoenix. However, Milwaukee is on a mission to win the World Series, as this is their season before Prince Fielder leaves. Milwaukee has some experience in the postseason with them making the 2008 postseason and losing to the eventual champion Phillies in the divisional series. Arizona doesn't really have any postseason experience, however, their manager and coaching staff have plenty of it. So, with their coaching staff, they've got a fighting chance.
Pick: Milwaukee in 4.
NLDS
Philadelphia vs. St. Louis. Schedule: Saturday at 5, Sunday at 8, Tuesday, Wednesday, Friday
The Phillies struggled down the stretch, until they won their final four games. So, it seems as if they've flipped the switch into playoff mode. St. Louis has been in playoff mode the entire month to grab the wild card spot in the NL. St. Louis has some heavy hitters in Lance Berkman, Matt Holliday, and of course the best player in the league, Albert Pujols. However, the Phillies have a very balanced lineup with speed and power ranging from Jimmy Rollins to Hunter Pence to Ryan Howard. St. Louis and the Phillies played a four game series earlier in the month with St. Louis taking 3 out of 4, will that change with the postseason? A little bit. Both teams have fairly questionable bullpens, but St. Louis is by far the more questionable one, hence why I'm going with the Phils, but it's going to be one tough series.
Pick: Phillies in 5.
Wednesday, September 21, 2011
10 Best Football Games-Week 4
Well, it looks like this round of conference shuffling is coming to an end (Thankfully), with the PAC-12 deciding against expansion at this time. Granted, some more schools may shuffle around, but the biggest pieces have moved, with Syracuse and Pitt going to the ACC and leaving the Big East in utter disarray at the moment. Plus, the Big 12 may actually stay intact, so this is all good news for college football and college athletics for the moment.
Plus, it was another week in the NFL where there were some blowouts which were surprising: Tennessee upsetting Baltimore and Detroit just absolutely thrashing Kansas City by 45. Then, there were some close games like Green Bay getting a scare from Carolina and a completely devastating injury to a team: Jamaal Charles of the Chiefs is gone for the year with a torn ACL. So, goes to show what can and can't be predicted each week there. Anyway, allow me to commence the picking!
College
#7 Oklahoma State at #8 Texas A&M, 3:30, ABC
This is the only top 10 game of the weekend, and boy is it a doozy of one. Oklahoma State and its air attack taking on one of the best defenses in the country in Texas A&M. Both of these teams are slightly under the radar hopefuls for the national title, and this week is the testing ground to see if they are contenders or pretenders. The Aggies have only given up 21 points in their first two games. Granted, those were against Southern Methodist and Idaho, but it is still good. While the Cowboys have scored the third most points in the nation per game, slightly under 60! Granted, two of those games were against a Sun Belt team in Louisiana-Lafayette and a C-USA team in Tulsa, but those are still some gaudy numbers. But, since this will be the first true test for both teams, I'm going to say offense wins out this time and Justin Blackmon has a great game receiving, getting three touchdowns.
Pick: OSU 45, A&M 30
#2 LSU at #16 West Virginia, 8, ABC
I, for one, and probably my fellow blogger and friend Jason Weimer from thefroshfifteen.blogspot.com, applaud LSU for taking chances in their scheduling early. As LSU has played a then top five Oregon team at a somewhat neutral field in Dallas, then playing a cupcake, followed by a tough SEC West showdown with Mississippi State on the road followed by another good test on the road with West Virginia in Morgantown. These two teams played last year at LSU, at night, which is deafening according to most who have gone there. The game was close, with LSU coming out on top 20-14 in a tight, defensive battle where Patrick Peterson pulled his own Desmond Howard and did the Heisman pose at the end of a great 60-yard punt return. College Gameday will be in Morgantown for the first time ever and the noise level should be turned up a notch as it's a primetime game. But, West Virginia has come out sluggishly in some of its games. West Virginia better not do that here, or else they will be toast by halftime. LSU has a top five defense and very well could dominate the game just defensively again. So, I'm expecting them to do so, and hold the Mountaineer attack to under 20 points for the first time this season.
Pick: LSU 24, West Virginia 13
#14 Arkansas at #3 Alabama, 3:30, CBS
Saturday afternoon, your remote is going to have to be right by your side, as there is the OSU-A&M game, this one, and the Florida State-Clemson game I'm previewing all happening at the same time. So, it's an exciting afternoon of college football, or at least it's shaping up to be one. Anyway, back to the game itself. This game is much like the A&M-Oklahoma State game, potent offense at potent defense. Well, this game is going to be just the reverse of that OSU-A&M game, where Alabama is just going to get after Arkansas and dominate the game. Alabama has the best defense in the nation hands down, and will completely stall Tyler Wilson and the Razorback offense.
Pick: Alabama 24, Arkansas 6
#11 Florida State at #21 Clemson, 3:30, ESPN
Florida State is coming off an emotional loss at home to the number one team in the country, Oklahoma. Clemson, on the other hand, is coming off an upset win at home versus the team with the longest winning streak in the nation, Auburn. So, one is looking to bounce back, the other is looking to keep up their winning ways. Clemson will almost always do the following: win a few coming out of the gate and start feeling good, then lose a few and lose all momentum they once had. This goes for football and basketball with them. So, here it goes again, they've won a few, but now a very good team comes into town, and they will lose. Florida State will rebound from their loss and look to win the ACC now.
Pick: FSU 31, Clemson 20
Missouri at #1 Oklahoma, 8, FX
If this game was in Missouri, I'd definitely give them a shot at the upset, but since it is in Norman, look for the Sooners to continue on their march toward the national title. The game will be closer than most think, as Mizzou is good, just not that good.
Pick: OU 35, Mizzou 32
NFL
Houston at New Orleans, 1, CBS
This intraconference showdown is one between two really good teams. Houston continued to prove that their dominance over Indy was no fluke performance and the defense showed up again against Miami. Although Miami isn't that great of a team. Houston has high aspirations, and if they can win here, this could be a point where the team looks back and proved themselves. However, New Orleans is really good at home, and after a sluggish start last week, they rolled to a 30-13 victory over the Bears. I expect New Orleans to win, but for Houston to keep it somewhat close throughout the game.
Pick: New Orleans 34, Houston 28
New York Giants at Philadelphia, 1, Fox
The Eagles looked impressive for three quarters last week in Atlanta before the defense gave the game away in the fourth, allowing 14 unanswered points in the last 11 minutes. Philadelphia has changed their biggest weakness in the linebacking corps, moving Casey Mathews now to weak side line backer and replacing Mathews with Jamar Chaney, who will now take over the play calling. Philly's biggest concern is if Michael Vick can come back from his concussion he suffered last week. New York meanwhile, just clobbered St. Louis on Monday night. So, they are coming in on a high note, even though they lost their number 3 wide receiver Dominik Hixon to a torn ACL. But, the Giants still have their two beasts at running back in Ahmad Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs. The Eagles have a tough time with the running game, so this could spell trouble, However, it is a rivalry game and the Eagles are at home, so give them the edge here.
Pick: Philly 24, New York 21
New England at Buffalo, 1, CBS
This game is only on here because Buffalo is 2-0. After this week, they will fall back to earth and you will not hear from them again.
Pick: New England 50, Buffalo 13
Atlanta at Tampa Bay, 4:15, Fox
This is a good divisional game between two teams vying for the division crown. Tampa is looking to continue their comeback victory at Minnesota this week at home and Josh Freeman looks to continue to improve. Atlanta is also looking to continue its momentum, but theirs was at home. Tampa should win this game, but by the narrowest of margins.
Pick: Tampa 21, Atlanta 20
Green Bay at Chicago, 4:15, Fox
This is a rematch of last year's NFC title game, and in the same place. Green Bay had somewhat of a scare last week against the frontrunner for rookie of the year in Cam Newton. Chicago, on the other hand, looks like it's the same old team. Defense first, with zero outside threat, and use Matt Forte to the best of his ability. So, therefore, I see the same result as last year's title game.
Pick: Green Bay 27, Chicago 17
Plus, it was another week in the NFL where there were some blowouts which were surprising: Tennessee upsetting Baltimore and Detroit just absolutely thrashing Kansas City by 45. Then, there were some close games like Green Bay getting a scare from Carolina and a completely devastating injury to a team: Jamaal Charles of the Chiefs is gone for the year with a torn ACL. So, goes to show what can and can't be predicted each week there. Anyway, allow me to commence the picking!
College
#7 Oklahoma State at #8 Texas A&M, 3:30, ABC
This is the only top 10 game of the weekend, and boy is it a doozy of one. Oklahoma State and its air attack taking on one of the best defenses in the country in Texas A&M. Both of these teams are slightly under the radar hopefuls for the national title, and this week is the testing ground to see if they are contenders or pretenders. The Aggies have only given up 21 points in their first two games. Granted, those were against Southern Methodist and Idaho, but it is still good. While the Cowboys have scored the third most points in the nation per game, slightly under 60! Granted, two of those games were against a Sun Belt team in Louisiana-Lafayette and a C-USA team in Tulsa, but those are still some gaudy numbers. But, since this will be the first true test for both teams, I'm going to say offense wins out this time and Justin Blackmon has a great game receiving, getting three touchdowns.
Pick: OSU 45, A&M 30
#2 LSU at #16 West Virginia, 8, ABC
I, for one, and probably my fellow blogger and friend Jason Weimer from thefroshfifteen.blogspot.com, applaud LSU for taking chances in their scheduling early. As LSU has played a then top five Oregon team at a somewhat neutral field in Dallas, then playing a cupcake, followed by a tough SEC West showdown with Mississippi State on the road followed by another good test on the road with West Virginia in Morgantown. These two teams played last year at LSU, at night, which is deafening according to most who have gone there. The game was close, with LSU coming out on top 20-14 in a tight, defensive battle where Patrick Peterson pulled his own Desmond Howard and did the Heisman pose at the end of a great 60-yard punt return. College Gameday will be in Morgantown for the first time ever and the noise level should be turned up a notch as it's a primetime game. But, West Virginia has come out sluggishly in some of its games. West Virginia better not do that here, or else they will be toast by halftime. LSU has a top five defense and very well could dominate the game just defensively again. So, I'm expecting them to do so, and hold the Mountaineer attack to under 20 points for the first time this season.
Pick: LSU 24, West Virginia 13
#14 Arkansas at #3 Alabama, 3:30, CBS
Saturday afternoon, your remote is going to have to be right by your side, as there is the OSU-A&M game, this one, and the Florida State-Clemson game I'm previewing all happening at the same time. So, it's an exciting afternoon of college football, or at least it's shaping up to be one. Anyway, back to the game itself. This game is much like the A&M-Oklahoma State game, potent offense at potent defense. Well, this game is going to be just the reverse of that OSU-A&M game, where Alabama is just going to get after Arkansas and dominate the game. Alabama has the best defense in the nation hands down, and will completely stall Tyler Wilson and the Razorback offense.
Pick: Alabama 24, Arkansas 6
#11 Florida State at #21 Clemson, 3:30, ESPN
Florida State is coming off an emotional loss at home to the number one team in the country, Oklahoma. Clemson, on the other hand, is coming off an upset win at home versus the team with the longest winning streak in the nation, Auburn. So, one is looking to bounce back, the other is looking to keep up their winning ways. Clemson will almost always do the following: win a few coming out of the gate and start feeling good, then lose a few and lose all momentum they once had. This goes for football and basketball with them. So, here it goes again, they've won a few, but now a very good team comes into town, and they will lose. Florida State will rebound from their loss and look to win the ACC now.
Pick: FSU 31, Clemson 20
Missouri at #1 Oklahoma, 8, FX
If this game was in Missouri, I'd definitely give them a shot at the upset, but since it is in Norman, look for the Sooners to continue on their march toward the national title. The game will be closer than most think, as Mizzou is good, just not that good.
Pick: OU 35, Mizzou 32
NFL
Houston at New Orleans, 1, CBS
This intraconference showdown is one between two really good teams. Houston continued to prove that their dominance over Indy was no fluke performance and the defense showed up again against Miami. Although Miami isn't that great of a team. Houston has high aspirations, and if they can win here, this could be a point where the team looks back and proved themselves. However, New Orleans is really good at home, and after a sluggish start last week, they rolled to a 30-13 victory over the Bears. I expect New Orleans to win, but for Houston to keep it somewhat close throughout the game.
Pick: New Orleans 34, Houston 28
New York Giants at Philadelphia, 1, Fox
The Eagles looked impressive for three quarters last week in Atlanta before the defense gave the game away in the fourth, allowing 14 unanswered points in the last 11 minutes. Philadelphia has changed their biggest weakness in the linebacking corps, moving Casey Mathews now to weak side line backer and replacing Mathews with Jamar Chaney, who will now take over the play calling. Philly's biggest concern is if Michael Vick can come back from his concussion he suffered last week. New York meanwhile, just clobbered St. Louis on Monday night. So, they are coming in on a high note, even though they lost their number 3 wide receiver Dominik Hixon to a torn ACL. But, the Giants still have their two beasts at running back in Ahmad Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs. The Eagles have a tough time with the running game, so this could spell trouble, However, it is a rivalry game and the Eagles are at home, so give them the edge here.
Pick: Philly 24, New York 21
New England at Buffalo, 1, CBS
This game is only on here because Buffalo is 2-0. After this week, they will fall back to earth and you will not hear from them again.
Pick: New England 50, Buffalo 13
Atlanta at Tampa Bay, 4:15, Fox
This is a good divisional game between two teams vying for the division crown. Tampa is looking to continue their comeback victory at Minnesota this week at home and Josh Freeman looks to continue to improve. Atlanta is also looking to continue its momentum, but theirs was at home. Tampa should win this game, but by the narrowest of margins.
Pick: Tampa 21, Atlanta 20
Green Bay at Chicago, 4:15, Fox
This is a rematch of last year's NFC title game, and in the same place. Green Bay had somewhat of a scare last week against the frontrunner for rookie of the year in Cam Newton. Chicago, on the other hand, looks like it's the same old team. Defense first, with zero outside threat, and use Matt Forte to the best of his ability. So, therefore, I see the same result as last year's title game.
Pick: Green Bay 27, Chicago 17
Sunday, September 18, 2011
My thoughts on conference realignment and the beginnings of the "Superconference"
Well, the dominoes started falling last year when the Big 12 started to crumble with the departures of Colorado and Nebraska to the Pac-12 and Big Ten respectively. Now, a few weeks ago, Texas A&M decided to depart from the Big 12 and join the SEC. Then, yesterday, word came out that Pitt and Syracuse are moving from the Big East to the ACC. Today word came that the Big 12 will officially no longer exist when Texas, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State and Texas Tech all decided to jump ship to the Pac-12. So, after that, even more conference realignment will take place to make four super conferences, with the Pac-16, Big Ten which will have 16 schools, the ACC, and the SEC. Now, I will give you my thoughts on this.
I think it sucks for college sports. I'll tell you why, because college sports is becoming more and more of a money grab, and these schools are just going after where the television contract money is. The Pac-12 just signed a long term deal with ESPN and Fox for $2.7 Billion dollars over 12 years. Then last year, the ACC also signed a big television deal with ESPN for exclusivity for $1.86 Billion over 12 years. The SEC already had a contract with CBS and ESPN worth over $3 Billion over 15 years in 2009. Plus, the Big Ten has its own network which is gaining revenue plus a huge contract from ESPN and CBS worth a lot, (cannot find the info). So, all of these schools have a ton of money coming in through the television contracts.
Here is another reason why it sucks for college sports: you will be seeing fewer and fewer upsets and "cinderella" stories in the NCAA tournament. Because the more you see of the big name schools playing the smaller schools like TCU and Boise State in football because the conference schedule will not allow for playing these teams. Then, as speculated, these four superconferences may just form their own form of the NCAA and separate themselves from it completely, so there would be no more upsets and having dream runs like Butler these past two seasons in the NCAA tournament.
The final reason why I think it sucks for college sports is the fact that the students aren't going to be going to as many games. As Darren Rovell of CNBC points out, students are not going to be willing to drive 12 to 20 hours to see a football game between Texas and USC. Or, to see a game between Texas A&M and LSU. As while these games are very intriguing, students cannot afford to go. Plus, the time commitment is way too much to commit to. Rovell also points out that it's one of the joys to go to another college campus and go to a game and just heckle the fans and have a good time with your buddies. Plus, if your school wins, it's all the better just to walk around and smile.
Now, to those Independent schools in football who don't have a conference affiliation. For those who don't know who those schools are, it's Army, Navy, Notre Dame and BYU. These schools need to join a conference quick, or otherwise just be completely lost in the shuffle of all this realignment. All of this realignment is football driven, and all of these schools have a rich football history and tradition and any conference would be happy to have them. My suggestions are that Army and Navy each go to the ACC, BYU should join the Pac-16 and Notre Dame should join the Big Ten, as most of their schedule consists of Big Ten schools.
Those are the reasons why I find these "superconferences" being just absurd and really crappy for the fan in general. Please comment if you disagree with my views. Oh, and the info for my blog will be at the end here.
SEC TV deal: http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2009/writers/stewart_mandel/07/24/sec-espn/index.html
ACC TV deal: http://www.aolnews.com/2010/05/17/report-espn-wins-acc-television-contract/
Pac-12 TV deal: http://sports.espn.go.com/ncf/news/story?id=6471380
Rovell's story: http://www.cnbc.com/id/44522319
I think it sucks for college sports. I'll tell you why, because college sports is becoming more and more of a money grab, and these schools are just going after where the television contract money is. The Pac-12 just signed a long term deal with ESPN and Fox for $2.7 Billion dollars over 12 years. Then last year, the ACC also signed a big television deal with ESPN for exclusivity for $1.86 Billion over 12 years. The SEC already had a contract with CBS and ESPN worth over $3 Billion over 15 years in 2009. Plus, the Big Ten has its own network which is gaining revenue plus a huge contract from ESPN and CBS worth a lot, (cannot find the info). So, all of these schools have a ton of money coming in through the television contracts.
Here is another reason why it sucks for college sports: you will be seeing fewer and fewer upsets and "cinderella" stories in the NCAA tournament. Because the more you see of the big name schools playing the smaller schools like TCU and Boise State in football because the conference schedule will not allow for playing these teams. Then, as speculated, these four superconferences may just form their own form of the NCAA and separate themselves from it completely, so there would be no more upsets and having dream runs like Butler these past two seasons in the NCAA tournament.
The final reason why I think it sucks for college sports is the fact that the students aren't going to be going to as many games. As Darren Rovell of CNBC points out, students are not going to be willing to drive 12 to 20 hours to see a football game between Texas and USC. Or, to see a game between Texas A&M and LSU. As while these games are very intriguing, students cannot afford to go. Plus, the time commitment is way too much to commit to. Rovell also points out that it's one of the joys to go to another college campus and go to a game and just heckle the fans and have a good time with your buddies. Plus, if your school wins, it's all the better just to walk around and smile.
Now, to those Independent schools in football who don't have a conference affiliation. For those who don't know who those schools are, it's Army, Navy, Notre Dame and BYU. These schools need to join a conference quick, or otherwise just be completely lost in the shuffle of all this realignment. All of this realignment is football driven, and all of these schools have a rich football history and tradition and any conference would be happy to have them. My suggestions are that Army and Navy each go to the ACC, BYU should join the Pac-16 and Notre Dame should join the Big Ten, as most of their schedule consists of Big Ten schools.
Those are the reasons why I find these "superconferences" being just absurd and really crappy for the fan in general. Please comment if you disagree with my views. Oh, and the info for my blog will be at the end here.
SEC TV deal: http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2009/writers/stewart_mandel/07/24/sec-espn/index.html
ACC TV deal: http://www.aolnews.com/2010/05/17/report-espn-wins-acc-television-contract/
Pac-12 TV deal: http://sports.espn.go.com/ncf/news/story?id=6471380
Rovell's story: http://www.cnbc.com/id/44522319
Wednesday, September 14, 2011
10 Best Football Games week 3!
After some great memorial tributes by the NFL and by colleges all throughout the country on Sunday, we return to normalcy. But, as mentioned last week, we should never forget that day a decade ago, where thousands lost their lives in such tragedy. As an aside, I'll tell you where I was that fateful day a decade ago, as my friend and fellow blogger Jason Weimer did on his. I was in high school at the time, with myself being blissfully oblivious to the things going on in D.C., Shanksville and New York. I was coming from gym class to my civics class, which is appropriate, as this was definitely something to be aware of. When I came in, I saw the television was on, which was incredibly odd, as we only have them on during the morning news and maybe to watch a movie. But, I knew we weren't going to watch a movie, and I was just shocked trying to take it all in. I was wondering what had happened, was it an accident? Was there miscommunication? What all was going on? Until the anchorman said terrorism, and we all know what happened from there. So, that's my look back at the events of a decade ago. Hope you enjoyed it, and feel free to comment on where you were a decade ago. Sports brought us out of those times, and they shall do it again. Here now are the ten best football games of the week!
#1 Oklahoma at #5 Florida State, 8 p.m., ABC
This is one of the most highly anticipated games of the season. It pits the Big 12 favorite versus the ACC favorite. Plus, it could be a revenge game, as Florida State looks to come back from the absolute beating it took a year ago in Norman, where they got decimated 47-17. So, now it is time for the Sooners to travel into Tallahassee where a raucous crowd awaits. Plus, this is going to be the first time in a decade since College Gameday visits Florida State, and that will amp the crowd up even more. This is a very interesting game full of unique stats. As Florida State has lost 4 or more games every year for the past 6, and Oklahoma has lost 7 of 11 games versus top five opponents since the 2004 National Championship game. So, very interesting. This game will be pivotal in the national title hopes for each team, as neither conference is all that strong and it will probably eliminate either team from national title contention. Oklahoma has all the experience, but Florida State has revenge and home field advantage. In my mind, it's a toss up, but a slight edge going to Oklahoma.
Pick: Oklahoma 26, Florida State 24
#3 LSU at #25 Mississippi State, 8 p.m. Thursday, ESPN
A good matchup between two SEC West schools, which could help determine who is playing for the SEC title in December. Mississippi State has already lost once in the division, last week to Auburn in a shootout. LSU has had one great win, coming in the season opener against Oregon where they turned the "blur" offense into a standstill. Mississippi State has been improving under Dan Mullen, and were supposed to be the sneaky pick to win the SEC West. Well, the offense is still not quite there, and LSU is just an elite team.
Pick: LSU 38, MSU 13
#18 West Virginia at Maryland, noon, ABC
While Maryland debuted their beautifully hideous unis on Labor day, they did so and whipped Miami 32-24. Score wasn't quite an indicator of how Miami played. West Virginia has had two cupcake opponents at home, and got off to sluggish starts in both games. If West Virginia gets off to another sluggish start, they could be looking at a big deficit. Maryland is coming into its own with new head coach Randy Edsall, and will pull off the upset.
Pick: Maryland 28, West Virginia 24
#16 Ohio State at Miami (FL), 7:30 p.m., ESPN
We'll call this the NCAA violators bowl. Miami is in the same boat as Florida State is, trying to come back from a woeful loss to their opponent last season. Miami wants to try and get back to prominence and they can probably do that at home versus a fairly mediocre Ohio State team, as Ohio State has had difficulty getting off and running, and they had difficulty putting away a MAC team in Toledo. Miami will have Jacory Harris back at quarterback here as well, so that will be a big boost, and that will vault them over the Buckeyes.
Pick: Miami 23, Ohio State 17
Penn State at Temple, noon, ESPN
I'm putting this one in here, as it has a slight chance to be an upset pick. Penn State looked awful against Alabama, but then again most teams do. Penn State still hasn't figured out its quarterback situation, and they had trouble going against Temple the last time they played, and that was in Happy Valley. Granted the crowd will be mostly for Penn State, but still. Temple has played two excellent games thus far, going a combined 83-14 against their two opponents thus far. Temple has reason for excitement with new head coach Steve Addazio who faced Penn State's offense last season while he was Florida's offensive coordinator. Addazio has more inisght and I think they can pull off the upset.
Pick: Temple 22, Penn State 21
NFL picks
Kansas City at Detroit, 1 p.m., CBS
Kansas City looked just awful against Buffalo last week, where they gave up 41 points to a Buffalo team which really should not score that many again this season. Plus, Kansas City's running game, its bread and butter were shut down early because they were behind so much so early. Kansas City needs to keep the game close in order to win. Detroit won last week in Tampa Bay, which is a very impressive victory. Detroit needs Matthew Stafford to stay healthy, and for him to be at home not cramping up like he did in the 100 degree heat in Florida will be a good thing. Detroit is a team on the rise, and with them playing at home, it's definitely a good thing.
Pick: Detroit 30, KC 20
Chicago at New Orleans, 1 p.m., FOX
Both teams put up impressive numbers in their week one games. Chicago scored 30, while keeping the ball very balanced between Matt Forte running it and Jay Cutler passing it. It also didn't hurt that Chicago forced three turnovers against Atlanta. Chicago will need that kind of performance again out of their defense to have a shot against New Orleans, who is notoriously tough at home over the past few seasons. New Orleans put up 38 points against a really good Green Bay defense and can easily put up some lofty totals again with the way Drew Brees slings the ball.
Pick: New Orleans 31, Chicago 20
San Diego at New England
New England just destroyed the Dolphins on Monday night, tying the longest touchdown from scrimmage in NFL history and Tom Brady throwing for over 500 yards for the first time in his career. New England has also scored 30 or more points nine straight games. San Diego on the other hand looked pretty good against Minnesota on Sunday, but now they've got a new kicker and Luis Castillo, one of their fine defensive ends is gone for the season. My thinking is that New England will torch the Charger secondary much like they did against Miami.
Pick: New England 38, San Diego 21
Philadelphia at Atlanta
Atlanta looked pitiful in their loss to the Bears on Sunday, only getting 12 points mainly in garbage time. However, that game isn't going to be a mark of their season. Philly looked impressive against St. Louis though, scoring 31 points and the secondary and defensive line proved to be dangerous. However, the linebacking corps and offensive line still need work to be done, as St. Louis' running backs totaled 154 yards against the Eagles and Vick was rushed plenty, which is a bad sign. The big storyline coming into this game is Vick's return to Atlanta for the first time as a starter. Vick returned before and lit up the Falcons throwing and running for a touchdown in 2009. Atlanta will feature a heavy dose of Michael Turner and if the Eagles can't hold him to under 120 yards, this will be a loss for the Eagles. I think that Vick is going to be charged up emotionally coming back to the place where he was drafted and signed his first $100M deal. So, he will carry the load and be spectacular.
Pick: Philly 34, Atlanta 26
St. Louis at New York Giants
The Giants couldn't shut down Tim Hightower and Rex Grossman on Sunday, which is a shock, as almost everyone considered New York to be a much better team than Washington. But, rivalry game, and away in a hostile environment, but now the Giants are back home to face a depleted Rams team, which has their top wide receiver and running back both injured. Plus, their quarterback in questionable against the Giants, but is looking like he'll play. New York is at home and should be energized playing on Monday Night, so go with the Giants.
Pick: New York 24, St. Louis 17
#1 Oklahoma at #5 Florida State, 8 p.m., ABC
This is one of the most highly anticipated games of the season. It pits the Big 12 favorite versus the ACC favorite. Plus, it could be a revenge game, as Florida State looks to come back from the absolute beating it took a year ago in Norman, where they got decimated 47-17. So, now it is time for the Sooners to travel into Tallahassee where a raucous crowd awaits. Plus, this is going to be the first time in a decade since College Gameday visits Florida State, and that will amp the crowd up even more. This is a very interesting game full of unique stats. As Florida State has lost 4 or more games every year for the past 6, and Oklahoma has lost 7 of 11 games versus top five opponents since the 2004 National Championship game. So, very interesting. This game will be pivotal in the national title hopes for each team, as neither conference is all that strong and it will probably eliminate either team from national title contention. Oklahoma has all the experience, but Florida State has revenge and home field advantage. In my mind, it's a toss up, but a slight edge going to Oklahoma.
Pick: Oklahoma 26, Florida State 24
#3 LSU at #25 Mississippi State, 8 p.m. Thursday, ESPN
A good matchup between two SEC West schools, which could help determine who is playing for the SEC title in December. Mississippi State has already lost once in the division, last week to Auburn in a shootout. LSU has had one great win, coming in the season opener against Oregon where they turned the "blur" offense into a standstill. Mississippi State has been improving under Dan Mullen, and were supposed to be the sneaky pick to win the SEC West. Well, the offense is still not quite there, and LSU is just an elite team.
Pick: LSU 38, MSU 13
#18 West Virginia at Maryland, noon, ABC
While Maryland debuted their beautifully hideous unis on Labor day, they did so and whipped Miami 32-24. Score wasn't quite an indicator of how Miami played. West Virginia has had two cupcake opponents at home, and got off to sluggish starts in both games. If West Virginia gets off to another sluggish start, they could be looking at a big deficit. Maryland is coming into its own with new head coach Randy Edsall, and will pull off the upset.
Pick: Maryland 28, West Virginia 24
#16 Ohio State at Miami (FL), 7:30 p.m., ESPN
We'll call this the NCAA violators bowl. Miami is in the same boat as Florida State is, trying to come back from a woeful loss to their opponent last season. Miami wants to try and get back to prominence and they can probably do that at home versus a fairly mediocre Ohio State team, as Ohio State has had difficulty getting off and running, and they had difficulty putting away a MAC team in Toledo. Miami will have Jacory Harris back at quarterback here as well, so that will be a big boost, and that will vault them over the Buckeyes.
Pick: Miami 23, Ohio State 17
Penn State at Temple, noon, ESPN
I'm putting this one in here, as it has a slight chance to be an upset pick. Penn State looked awful against Alabama, but then again most teams do. Penn State still hasn't figured out its quarterback situation, and they had trouble going against Temple the last time they played, and that was in Happy Valley. Granted the crowd will be mostly for Penn State, but still. Temple has played two excellent games thus far, going a combined 83-14 against their two opponents thus far. Temple has reason for excitement with new head coach Steve Addazio who faced Penn State's offense last season while he was Florida's offensive coordinator. Addazio has more inisght and I think they can pull off the upset.
Pick: Temple 22, Penn State 21
NFL picks
Kansas City at Detroit, 1 p.m., CBS
Kansas City looked just awful against Buffalo last week, where they gave up 41 points to a Buffalo team which really should not score that many again this season. Plus, Kansas City's running game, its bread and butter were shut down early because they were behind so much so early. Kansas City needs to keep the game close in order to win. Detroit won last week in Tampa Bay, which is a very impressive victory. Detroit needs Matthew Stafford to stay healthy, and for him to be at home not cramping up like he did in the 100 degree heat in Florida will be a good thing. Detroit is a team on the rise, and with them playing at home, it's definitely a good thing.
Pick: Detroit 30, KC 20
Chicago at New Orleans, 1 p.m., FOX
Both teams put up impressive numbers in their week one games. Chicago scored 30, while keeping the ball very balanced between Matt Forte running it and Jay Cutler passing it. It also didn't hurt that Chicago forced three turnovers against Atlanta. Chicago will need that kind of performance again out of their defense to have a shot against New Orleans, who is notoriously tough at home over the past few seasons. New Orleans put up 38 points against a really good Green Bay defense and can easily put up some lofty totals again with the way Drew Brees slings the ball.
Pick: New Orleans 31, Chicago 20
San Diego at New England
New England just destroyed the Dolphins on Monday night, tying the longest touchdown from scrimmage in NFL history and Tom Brady throwing for over 500 yards for the first time in his career. New England has also scored 30 or more points nine straight games. San Diego on the other hand looked pretty good against Minnesota on Sunday, but now they've got a new kicker and Luis Castillo, one of their fine defensive ends is gone for the season. My thinking is that New England will torch the Charger secondary much like they did against Miami.
Pick: New England 38, San Diego 21
Philadelphia at Atlanta
Atlanta looked pitiful in their loss to the Bears on Sunday, only getting 12 points mainly in garbage time. However, that game isn't going to be a mark of their season. Philly looked impressive against St. Louis though, scoring 31 points and the secondary and defensive line proved to be dangerous. However, the linebacking corps and offensive line still need work to be done, as St. Louis' running backs totaled 154 yards against the Eagles and Vick was rushed plenty, which is a bad sign. The big storyline coming into this game is Vick's return to Atlanta for the first time as a starter. Vick returned before and lit up the Falcons throwing and running for a touchdown in 2009. Atlanta will feature a heavy dose of Michael Turner and if the Eagles can't hold him to under 120 yards, this will be a loss for the Eagles. I think that Vick is going to be charged up emotionally coming back to the place where he was drafted and signed his first $100M deal. So, he will carry the load and be spectacular.
Pick: Philly 34, Atlanta 26
St. Louis at New York Giants
The Giants couldn't shut down Tim Hightower and Rex Grossman on Sunday, which is a shock, as almost everyone considered New York to be a much better team than Washington. But, rivalry game, and away in a hostile environment, but now the Giants are back home to face a depleted Rams team, which has their top wide receiver and running back both injured. Plus, their quarterback in questionable against the Giants, but is looking like he'll play. New York is at home and should be energized playing on Monday Night, so go with the Giants.
Pick: New York 24, St. Louis 17
Wednesday, September 7, 2011
10 Best Football Games!
Last week, when I did exclusively college games, I fared pretty well, and went 7-3. But, a lot of those were cupcake games, so in all actuality, out of the five best games last week, I only went 2-3, not too good. This week poses an even bigger challenge, as now I have zero cupcake games on the schedule. So, hopefully I fare better than last week's paltry effort. This week in college brings only one game between ranked teams, and the others are all just unique games between non conference foes. Then, in the NFL, week one brings five really interesting games. Plus, all five of my games in the NFL will feature at least one playoff team from last season. Now, onto the picks! O, plus, I'm stealing osme of my stats from the always helpful Pat Forde of espn.com. Please read the Forde-yard dash as he calls it: http://espn.go.com/college-football/story/_/id/6935047/michigan-wolverines-maryland-terrapins-utah-state-aggies-give-us-talk-about
Arizona at # 9 Oklahoma State, 8 p.m. Thursday, ESPN
These two teams love to throw the ball, and both teams don't have that good of a defense, so this game should be a lot of fun to watch. Oklahoma State features Justin Blackmon, the best wide receiver in the college game. To give you an example of how good Blackmon is, he caught 21 touchdowns last season in 12 games, or nearly two per game. Then, with Arizona, they have veteran Nick Foles, who could be a sleeper pick in next year's draft. Both teams are coming off big home wins against cupcake opponents and this will be their first true test. Go with the Cowboys here, as they are at home.
Pick: OSU 52, Arizona 48
# 21 Mizzou at Arizona State, 10:30 p.m. Friday, ESPN
Arizona State wiped the floor with their division 1-AA opponent last weekend UC Davis, now comes a much tougher test when the third best Big 12 team comes into town. Mizzou only won 17-6 last week against a bad Miami (OH) team. Now, they'd better get focused quick, or else they will score even less against ASU's stout defense.
Pick: ASU 23, Mizzou 10
# 3 Alabama at #23 Penn State, 3:30 p.m., ABC
Both teams rolled over their weak opponents last week in preparation for this big game. Last year Alabama rolled over Penn State 27-3 in Tuscaloosa when Penn State really didn't have a quarterback, or much of an offense at all to speak of. This year, Penn State has two good running backs in Silas Redd and Stephon Green. While the Nittany Lions still are questioning who to start at quarterback, so are the Tide. However, Alabama probably has the best defense in the country, and that will be the difference.
Pick: Alabama 21, Penn State 14
Utah at USC, 7:30 p.m., Versus
This is the first Pac-12 game for both teams, and the first ever BCS conference game for the Utes who are moving over from the Mountain West. USC really struggled last week against a lowly Minnesota team, eking out a 19-17 victory. Meanwhile Utah cruised passed their division 1-AA opponent Montana State. But, the Utes will need to complete a pass which is 10 yards or longer to win their first conference game.
Pick: USC 24, Utah 13
Notre Dame at Michigan, 8 p.m., ESPN
This game is significant for one reason: it's the first night game ever at the big house in Michigan. So, for that reason only, Michigan should be pumped up and ready to go. Secondly, the Wolverines are facing maybe their second biggest rival after Ohio State in Notre Dame. Therefore, the noise level inside of that stadium is going to be off the charts. Notre Dame and new starter Tommy Rees will have to try and keep calm and not commit the five turnovers the Irish had last week, all in the red zone. If the Irish don't turn the ball over, they could have a shot. But, with all of the emotion going into this game, I see no way Michigan losing.
Pick: Michigan 31, Notre Dame 21
NFL
New Orleans at Green Bay, Thursday 8:30 p.m., NBC
This game pits the last two Super Bowl winners against one another, and two of my picks to win their divisions against one another. Green Bay should be incredibly hyped up for this game, and it's the first real game since February, so the nation will be tuning in right after Obama's speech to watch this game. Both teams bring prolific offenses to the table, so you'd think this would be a high scoring game, but New Orleans hasn't been all that great in Thursday opening games, so I'm not expecting a turn around here. Green Bay should be firing on all cylinders though I think.
Pick: Green Bay 31, New Orleans 14
Philadelphia at St. Louis, 1 p.m., FOX
Again, another game in which I picked two division winners. However, this time, I'm going totally homer and fan pick, with the Eagles. This game is the start of the sprint which is the NFL season, and to see if the Eagles can protect Mike Vick. This game will also be a good test for the Eagles new group of linebackers, as the Rams will be running the ball a lot with Steven Jackson. If Jackson picks up more than 100 yards on the ground, this could spell trouble not only for the linebacking group as a whole, but the game too. The Eagles will win this game, but closer than you may think.
Pick: Philadelphia 27, St. Louis 21
Atlanta at Chicago, 1 p.m., FOX
This is a very interesting game in the first week, as both teams are coming off playoff appearances and are trying to win now. Atlanta will want to try out their new weapon in Julio Jones early and often. Jay Cutler should be fully healed from whatever ailed him in the NFC title game, and the Bears are hoping that he doesn't get sacked as much as he did last season, averaging more than 3 per game. Overall, I think this will be a relatively low scoring game with plenty of defensive struggle.
Pick: Atlanta 13, Chicago 10
Pittsburgh at Baltimore, 1 p.m. CBS
This game is going to be hard hitting, and full of defense. This is a huge rivalry game, so throw all the stats out the window and prepare for a close game with a lot of pushing and shoving as these two teams can't stand one another. This game is essentially a coin flip, but give it to Baltimore in a close one.
Pick: Baltimore 17, Pittsburgh 13
Dallas at New York Jets, 8:20 p.m., NBC
This game is being played on the anniversary of the most horrific attack ever on American soil, so the crowd will definitely be behind the Jets emotionally, and the Jets will want to make the fans happy on this overall somber day. Back to the football side, this game is going to be interesting, as it has the Ryan brothers facing off once again, like they did last season, when Rex won against Rob's Browns. Plus, Dallas will want to get off to a fast start and prove to everyone that they're back from last year's 6-10 debacle. New York will try to set up the running game with Shonn Greene and LaDainian Tomlinson early. While defensively they'l want to pressure Tony Romo to see if that shoulder of his is truly healed from last season. It's going to be a great game, but New York will send their fans home happy.
Pick: New York 24, Dallas 23
As mentioned in the New York vs. Dallas game, this coming Sunday is the anniversary of the terrorist attacks in New York and Washington. This will be a very somber day throughout the U.S. and remember this day forever. Take time to thank a police officer or fireman, as they are the real heroes. Take a moment to remember who died, and those who gave their lives so that more people could be saved. This day will forever be remembered. Have a blessed weekend!
Arizona at # 9 Oklahoma State, 8 p.m. Thursday, ESPN
These two teams love to throw the ball, and both teams don't have that good of a defense, so this game should be a lot of fun to watch. Oklahoma State features Justin Blackmon, the best wide receiver in the college game. To give you an example of how good Blackmon is, he caught 21 touchdowns last season in 12 games, or nearly two per game. Then, with Arizona, they have veteran Nick Foles, who could be a sleeper pick in next year's draft. Both teams are coming off big home wins against cupcake opponents and this will be their first true test. Go with the Cowboys here, as they are at home.
Pick: OSU 52, Arizona 48
# 21 Mizzou at Arizona State, 10:30 p.m. Friday, ESPN
Arizona State wiped the floor with their division 1-AA opponent last weekend UC Davis, now comes a much tougher test when the third best Big 12 team comes into town. Mizzou only won 17-6 last week against a bad Miami (OH) team. Now, they'd better get focused quick, or else they will score even less against ASU's stout defense.
Pick: ASU 23, Mizzou 10
# 3 Alabama at #23 Penn State, 3:30 p.m., ABC
Both teams rolled over their weak opponents last week in preparation for this big game. Last year Alabama rolled over Penn State 27-3 in Tuscaloosa when Penn State really didn't have a quarterback, or much of an offense at all to speak of. This year, Penn State has two good running backs in Silas Redd and Stephon Green. While the Nittany Lions still are questioning who to start at quarterback, so are the Tide. However, Alabama probably has the best defense in the country, and that will be the difference.
Pick: Alabama 21, Penn State 14
Utah at USC, 7:30 p.m., Versus
This is the first Pac-12 game for both teams, and the first ever BCS conference game for the Utes who are moving over from the Mountain West. USC really struggled last week against a lowly Minnesota team, eking out a 19-17 victory. Meanwhile Utah cruised passed their division 1-AA opponent Montana State. But, the Utes will need to complete a pass which is 10 yards or longer to win their first conference game.
Pick: USC 24, Utah 13
Notre Dame at Michigan, 8 p.m., ESPN
This game is significant for one reason: it's the first night game ever at the big house in Michigan. So, for that reason only, Michigan should be pumped up and ready to go. Secondly, the Wolverines are facing maybe their second biggest rival after Ohio State in Notre Dame. Therefore, the noise level inside of that stadium is going to be off the charts. Notre Dame and new starter Tommy Rees will have to try and keep calm and not commit the five turnovers the Irish had last week, all in the red zone. If the Irish don't turn the ball over, they could have a shot. But, with all of the emotion going into this game, I see no way Michigan losing.
Pick: Michigan 31, Notre Dame 21
NFL
New Orleans at Green Bay, Thursday 8:30 p.m., NBC
This game pits the last two Super Bowl winners against one another, and two of my picks to win their divisions against one another. Green Bay should be incredibly hyped up for this game, and it's the first real game since February, so the nation will be tuning in right after Obama's speech to watch this game. Both teams bring prolific offenses to the table, so you'd think this would be a high scoring game, but New Orleans hasn't been all that great in Thursday opening games, so I'm not expecting a turn around here. Green Bay should be firing on all cylinders though I think.
Pick: Green Bay 31, New Orleans 14
Philadelphia at St. Louis, 1 p.m., FOX
Again, another game in which I picked two division winners. However, this time, I'm going totally homer and fan pick, with the Eagles. This game is the start of the sprint which is the NFL season, and to see if the Eagles can protect Mike Vick. This game will also be a good test for the Eagles new group of linebackers, as the Rams will be running the ball a lot with Steven Jackson. If Jackson picks up more than 100 yards on the ground, this could spell trouble not only for the linebacking group as a whole, but the game too. The Eagles will win this game, but closer than you may think.
Pick: Philadelphia 27, St. Louis 21
Atlanta at Chicago, 1 p.m., FOX
This is a very interesting game in the first week, as both teams are coming off playoff appearances and are trying to win now. Atlanta will want to try out their new weapon in Julio Jones early and often. Jay Cutler should be fully healed from whatever ailed him in the NFC title game, and the Bears are hoping that he doesn't get sacked as much as he did last season, averaging more than 3 per game. Overall, I think this will be a relatively low scoring game with plenty of defensive struggle.
Pick: Atlanta 13, Chicago 10
Pittsburgh at Baltimore, 1 p.m. CBS
This game is going to be hard hitting, and full of defense. This is a huge rivalry game, so throw all the stats out the window and prepare for a close game with a lot of pushing and shoving as these two teams can't stand one another. This game is essentially a coin flip, but give it to Baltimore in a close one.
Pick: Baltimore 17, Pittsburgh 13
Dallas at New York Jets, 8:20 p.m., NBC
This game is being played on the anniversary of the most horrific attack ever on American soil, so the crowd will definitely be behind the Jets emotionally, and the Jets will want to make the fans happy on this overall somber day. Back to the football side, this game is going to be interesting, as it has the Ryan brothers facing off once again, like they did last season, when Rex won against Rob's Browns. Plus, Dallas will want to get off to a fast start and prove to everyone that they're back from last year's 6-10 debacle. New York will try to set up the running game with Shonn Greene and LaDainian Tomlinson early. While defensively they'l want to pressure Tony Romo to see if that shoulder of his is truly healed from last season. It's going to be a great game, but New York will send their fans home happy.
Pick: New York 24, Dallas 23
As mentioned in the New York vs. Dallas game, this coming Sunday is the anniversary of the terrorist attacks in New York and Washington. This will be a very somber day throughout the U.S. and remember this day forever. Take time to thank a police officer or fireman, as they are the real heroes. Take a moment to remember who died, and those who gave their lives so that more people could be saved. This day will forever be remembered. Have a blessed weekend!
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